The 2010 NFL Mid-Season Playoff Push Debate… Charge!

November 11, 2010

Read the opposing arguments from Bleacher Fan and Optimist Prime.

With last night’s game between the Baltimore Ravens and the Atlanta Falcons, the second half of the NFL season began in full swing and teams could legitimately start looking at whether or not they had a realistic chance at making the playoffs. Looking at the NFL standings, it’s easy to see that some teams have already established themselves as Super Bowl contenders (Steelers, Giants, etc.) while other teams (Bills, Cowboys, etc.) have already buried any chance of playing any meaningful game in January.

However, there are quite a few teams who are stuck in the middle who have a chance to make a run during the second half of the season. It’s called parity, folks, and it’s one of the things that makes the NFL so great! There’s one team out there that I think is primed for a run during the second half of the season and I think it’s the much maligned San Diego Chargers.

The Chargers started out the season horribly, as has been the case in recent seasons. They were 2-5 over the first seven games of the season. This was despite the best efforts of quarterback Philip Rivers, who is somewhat quietly in the midst of an outstanding season. Drowned by all of the MVP surrounding the likes of Peyton Manning and Tom Brady – who are also having great seasons – Rivers has quietly thrown for 2,944 yards and has a quarterback rating of 102.9, which is currently good enough for third in the NFL. Now, with two consecutive wins, they are 4-5. In my mind, that is right back in the thick of things.

Head coach Norv Turner seemingly has been on the hot seat at some point in all four years of his coaching tenure in San Diego. Yet, you look at his record there and you see he has three division titles in three seasons. Looking at his team and looking at the schedule, I think he has a decent shot at getting that fourth title. Over the last seven games of the season the Chargers have two games against the struggling Broncos, the Bengals, the 49ers, and a game apiece against both teams ahead of them in the standings, the Chiefs and the Raiders. The opportunity is certainly there.

Keep in mind who the Chargers will be getting back soon, also. That’s right, Vincent Jackson is coming. He FINALLY signed his contract tender in late October, and he is eligible to play beginning November 28th. That’s going to be a big pickup for the Charger offense. The offense has been doing fine without him, which is amazing considering Antonio Gates has been battling a toe injury and actually still easily leads the team in catches despite sitting out the last game.

The Chargers have a bye this week, which comes at the perfect time. It gives Gates more time to heal and gives this team more time to regroup for the stretch run. The Chargers are in a surprising position. Review the statistics and you may notice that the Chargers are first in total offense and fifth in total defense. But the Turner-led Chargers have been down this road before. This isn’t their first rodeo. And they are in prime position to do what they’ve done in the past… make a charge towards the post-season.

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The 2010 Most Overrated Team in the NFL Debate… Pats No Longer Dominant

August 27, 2010

Read the opposing arguments from Bleacher Fan and Loyal Homer.

The New England Patriots’ run of playoff dominance in the modern millennia is something to be marveled. Since 2001, the Pats have won five division titles, four conference titles, and failed to make the playoffs only twice. More impressively, the Patriots have won three Super Bowl’s in just four years, from 2001 to 2004. Time and time again the Patriots continue to exceed expectations. From Tom Brady breaking NFL records to the 16-0 regular season in 2007, New England has rightfully developed a reputation as a nearly unstoppable force in the NFL. Until now.

For the first time in a long while, the Patriots look vulnerable. The offense is starting to show its age, and the defense has undergone drastic personnel changes over the past few years. The schedule is rough and sure to expose weaknesses in a suddenly competitive division. In short, the 2010 Patriots are not the same vaunted team that tossed around the league over the last decade. This season the Patriots have become mortal.

The First Signs of Weakness

For starters, take a look at how New England finished 2009. After winning the AFC East with a 10-6 record the Patriots were absolutely blown out by the Ravens, 33-14 in the first round of the playoffs. Adding insult to injury, the beating took place in Foxboro. Taking nothing away from a very strong Baltimore team, it probably should not have gone down that way.

New England had an experienced corps of veterans and home field advantage. The odds were in their favor, but apparently no one told Ray Rice. On the first play of the game he took the ball 83 yards for a tone-setting score. The Ravens ground attack was so effective that the win was secure despite 34 total passing yards. It was the first home playoff loss for the Pats since 1978, and it likely impacted the psyche of the players. That type of defeat could prove to be a confidence shaker for the coming season and tell tale sign of things to come.

Both Too Old and Too Young

Another hardship the 2010 Pats will have to overcome is Father Time. While the Patriots may be renowned for an ability to involve the entire roster in the offense, there is still a corps of veteran players that anchor the unit, and they are starting to get old. In fact, according to a study by ESPN, the Patriots were the sixth oldest team in the NFL. This could be bad news for a previously high-octane offense. Potentially the most dynamic aspect of the New England offense is the Brady to Moss connection. Both players will start the season at the age of 33. While that doesn’t mean than they are ready for the rest home, it does mean that their upside is probably behind them and they will be playing with bodies that have seen seasons of abuse. I am not prognosticating any dramatic declines, but a subtle reduction in numbers is certainly not out of the question. And Brady and Moss are not alone. Well known members of the offense, including Kevin Faulk (34), Sammy Morris (33), Fred Taylor (34), Alge Crumpler (32), are sure to show signs of age as they move deeper and deeper into their 30s as well. With age comes increased risk of injury and reduced production. Unlike Brett Favre, most players don’t put up career numbers in the later seasons of their career, and age may be a factor that slows the offense in the coming season.

The Rough Road Ahead

Aside from the obligatory two game destruction of the Bills, the Patriots will have a challenging schedule. Previously easy division matchups against New York and Miami have become increasingly more difficult over the past several years. Two games against a young and talented Jets team, which missed the Super Bowl by one game last season, will be no walk in the park this season. Similarly, the Dolphins have an up and coming quarterback in Chad Henne and a legit number one receiver in Brandon Marshall. It seems as though the AFC East has become a tight division overnight.

And the challenges are not limited to division rivals. After a week five bye New England will face a slew of tough teams – specifically the Ravens, Chargers, and Vikings. These are formidable teams that can put up huge numbers on any given week. It doesn’t get too easy thereafter, either, because the Pats will have to take on playoff perennials like the Steelers, Colts, and Packers. All three teams have huge offensive potential and a shootout with anyone of them could end poorly for New England because of an average defense. Not only will there be little chance of a repeat of the perfect regular season performance of 2007, there might not even be hope for a playoff spot.

Belichick and the boys could surprise the league again and pull off another outstanding season. They could be fueled by motivation of playing for new deals, as both Brady and Moss enter contract years. They could be fueled by the rivalry, seeing how Jets’ coach Rex Ryan and Tom Brady have been having at it. Or they could simply run out of gas. My gut, and the facts, tell me it will be the latter.

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The 2010 Most Overrated Team in the NFL Debate… Don’t Believe the Niner Hype

August 27, 2010

Read the opposing arguments from Babe Ruthless and Bleacher Fan.

Every season there are a handful of teams that believe they will be able to make some noise in the league. The so-called experts hype these teams, and many of these teams get a lot of early love from pre-season prognosticators. One of these teams is the San Francisco 49ers, and I am most definitely not buying the hype.

The competition is obviously less than stellar in the NFC West. And that was before Kurt Warner retired. Now things appear to be up for grabs as far as the division title goes, with St. Louis just being plain awful. I don’t see how the 49ers are the trendy pick to reach up and grab that title.

Don’t get me wrong. I am a Mike Singletary fan. I love the intensity he brings to the sidelines and the discipline he likes to instill in his players. I appreciate the fact that he wants winners (a very underrated coach’s rant). Look at this team. Does he have winners?

Look at the quarterback, Alex Smith. I wrote recently that he was the quarterback who had the most to prove in the NFL. I stand by that statement. What has he done to prove that he is capable of leading a team to ten wins and into the post-season? His main accomplishment as a football player is what he accomplished as a senior at Utah. Maybe he’ll go out and prove me and all the naysayers wrong by having a Pro-Bowl season. Well, never mind… that’s never going to happen!

When healthy, running back Frank Gore is good and capable. He is, however, inconsistent at times, which is maddening for fantasy football players. He went through a ten game stretch last season where he carried the ball at least twenty times just once. He also tends to get nicked up quite a bit, as he hasn’t played a full 16 game schedule since 2006. That’s begs the question ,“Is Frank Gore durable?”

Vernon Davis is an outstanding tight end and an up and coming star. I also believe that Michael Crabtree has the potential to be an outstanding wide receiver. We all saw what he could do in college. Now in his second season (first full season), we need to see it carry over. But he’s at a disadvantage. For starters, look who his quarterback is. Second, look who the current number two receiver is in the 49ers’ offense? It’s Josh Morgan. Ted Ginn, Jr. may pass him on the depth chart at some point, but that’s how it is right now. Does Josh Morgan strike fear into opposing defenses?

Can someone please explain to me how the San Francisco 49ers are getting all this love? What part of the team screams “playoffs?” I just don’t see it. If you do, by all means, leave me a comment and convince me!

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The 2010 MLB Trade Deadline Target Debate… Contenders Dream of Oswalt

July 23, 2010

Read the opposing arguments from Sports Geek and Bleacher Fan.

The MLB trading deadline is a week from tomorrow, and depending on how things shake out over the next eight days, there could be a lot of movement. Many teams could be making that move to put their team in contention while other teams are already looking at rebuilding. If I’m a fan of a team who is in contention, and who is really serious about winning an elusive championship, then I want a guy who can make a difference in October. I’m a firm believer in pitching in October and we really saw how much it meant last season in the playoffs, especially with all of the off days MLB allowed in the 2009 post-season, though it looks as if that will change this year.

With the importance of pitching firmly in mind, I believe acquiring a frontline starting pitcher is the key. Obviously, Cliff Lee was that guy. But, since he is no longer on the market, then Roy Oswalt is your man.

At first glance, Oswalt is having a down season. I know the stat we all look at first is the win-loss record, and through Thursday Oswalt had a 6-11 record. It’s important to note, however, that Oswalt pitches for a REALLY bad Houston Astros team and that his season ERA of 3.12 is more indicative of how well he has pitched. Just two weeks ago, he threw a one-hitter. This guy is a proven major league ace. He’s a three-time All-Star with a career ERA of 3.22.

It’s also important to note that Oswalt has post-season experience… well, actually, post-season experience at dominance. Back in 2005, Oswalt, along with Carlos Beltran, seemingly single-handily lifted the Astros through the NLDS and the NLCS before running into a buzz saw named “Chicago White Sox.” Oswalt went 3-0 overall that post-season, highlighted by a dominant game six performance in the NLCS. I remember how clutch that performance was because it was the game after Albert Pujols hit that home run to the moon off of Brad Lidge the game before, and all the momentum seemed to be on the side of St. Louis. That game cemented his status as NLCS MVP.

Unfortunately, it looks as if Oswalt will only approve a trade if his 2012 option, which happens to be for $16M, is picked up by the team that acquires him. That could actually hinder his chances of being moved to another team, and it definitely limits the number of teams that will inquire about him. That’s a lot of money to pay for a then 35-year-old pitcher. Oswalt could have to soften his stance on that demand in order to get his original wish to get traded to a contender.

But, whoever gets him will get a true number one starter and someone who could prove to be a difference maker in October. He could be the difference between a team being one and done or making a deep run toward chasing a ring. By looking at the list of World Series champions, it’s obvious that you can never have enough quality starting pitching in the playoffs.

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The NFL Fumbling the Playoffs Debate – We Won’t Remember These Titans

October 5, 2009

Read Sports Geek’s argument that the Carolina Panthers have blown their chance at the playoffs and Bleacher Fan’s argument that the Pittsburgh Steelers are in trouble.



Every NFL team starts the first of September with a clean slate. A record of 0-0. Many have hope of playing in January and it is a time of optimism for the players and the fans. The teams that made the playoffs the previous season hope to take it a step further (or repeat, if a team won the Super Bowl), while the teams that missed the playoffs hope to make it to postseason play. As the fourth week of the season winds down tonight in Minnesota, The Sports Debates is looking at teams that are behind the proverbial eight ball and have lost a realistic chance at making the playoffs. Yes, we know we are only a quarter of the way through the regular season, but the most surprising team to have basically ruined their playoff chances this early is the Tennessee Titans.

Last season the Titans finished 13-3 in the regular season and won the AFC South… before eventually losing to the Baltimore Ravens in the second round of the playoffs. The regular season record will not be duplicated, and with Sunday’s loss to Jacksonville (the team gave up 27 first half points to the Jacksonville Jaguars?), the Titans are an embarrassing 0-4. Guess what other teams are also 0-4? Terrible teams like the St. Louis Rams, the Cleveland Browns, the Kansas City Chiefs, and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers! Heck, even the Oakland Raiders have one more win than the Titans! This is not what Jeff Fisher and Co. had in mind when the season started.

The offense has moved the ball fairly well. The offense is averaging close to 360-yards per game. Chris Johnson is having another solid year (and helping my fantasy team!). The Titans just are not getting the ball into the end zone. Averaging slightly less than 19 points a game to this point is good enough for 22nd in the league. That is not good enough for a team that had Super Bowl hopes coming into the season. It is also fair to question whether or not Kerry Collins is the man for the job at quarterback.

Where the team has really struggled is on defense. The Titans are giving up 282.2 yards per game passing, and an average of 27 points per game. How does a defense give up 323 yards to David Garrard? To me, that is a head scratcher. Does the defense really miss Albert Haynesworth that much? Does the defense really miss Jim Schwarz that much? Right now, it appears so!

And it is not going to get any easier for the Titans. One of the “perks” of winning a division is having a tough schedule the following the year. It is one of the many things the NFL does to create parity in the league. Look at the schedule and it is easy to understand the teams the Titans are playing in the next two week: the Indianapolis Colts (in an absolutely dreadful Sunday Night football game) and the New England Patriots. Ouch. I think 0-6 is a real possibility.

This is not what Titans fans and the city of Nashville had in mind. A record of 0-4 through the first four weeks was not even in the realm of possibility. With the Colts sitting on top of the division with a 4-0 record, it is going to be next to impossible to make the playoffs. There is no guarantee that 10 wins gets a team in the playoffs. And with the schedule strength shaking out like it is, I just do not see the Titans rebounding and playing playoff football this season.

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