The Most Surprising MLB Move in April Debate…The Brilliant or Desperate Zambrano Move

April 28, 2010

Read the opposing arguments from Loyal Homer and Bleacher Fan.

My oh my how the mighty have fallen.

Once a proud and emotional leader of the Chicago Cubs, the team’s supposed ace is now relegated to bullpen duty, making Carlos Zambrano the highest paid setup man in the history of baseball.

As a starter, Zambrano’s early season ERA was over eight, and manager Lou Piniella had quite enough. Who can blame him? Not only was Zambrano’s ERA out of control, his signature emotion was gone. In short, Sweet Lou did not believe that Zambrano CARED about his struggles. Of the long list of things that make Sweet Lou’s face twitch, apathy is near the top. While seemingly deserved, the most surprising move in April is Zambrano’s sudden move to the pen.

Zambrano has stunk this season, even after a couple of improved performances out of the pen. His ERA is still a ridiculous 6.85. After giving up ten home runs all of last season in 169.1 innings, Zambrano has already served up four dingers in just 22 innings. Yikes.

Aside from the rough start from the right hander, it is generally hard to blame Lou for the move. Zambrano has always had “the stuff” of an ace, but never the psyche. He is prone to intense emotional outbursts and to extreme pitching efficiency when he is on, using few pitches to set down the side in order. Since the Cubs have blown some leads early in the season, primarily because a young bullpen was unable to hold leads late in the game, the gaping hole in the late innings was obvious. Zambrano has the best pitches and mentality for the bullpen of any other player in the starting rotation.

Zambrano fits because the alternatives are not good. Carlos Silva and Tom Gorzelanny, surprising Cubs starters for the 2010 campaign, are actually pitching well in the rotation right now. Randy Wells is probably the staff’s best pitcher, and Ryan Dempster its most consistent. The odd man out is clear, and Zambrano belongs in the pen.

The problem is that pesky – and enormous – contract. He is due $17.875M in 2010, $18M in 2011, and $19.25M. Obviously this is the salary of an ace, not a setup guy. But, he also has a full no trade clause. The Cubs are stuck with Zambrano, and they must get SOME value out of him. As a result, along with Zambrano’s lip service to “doing whatever is needed to help the ballclub,” the best way to make Zambrano valuable is to use him out of the pen.

The move is not just surprising for its clarity and swiftness, but also for its mismanagement. Of course it’s the right decision; of course something needed to be done quickly. But Zambrano somehow still maintains that this is a temporary move. For this to be effective either as a psychological ploy, or to strengthen a weak bullpen, Zambrano must be convinced of its seriousness. Failure to do so neuters the effectiveness of this move.

Cubs’ fans should hope that the move sticks, regardless of the weird contract situation. Zambrano makes more sense as a bullpen pitcher than a starter, even with a no hitter under his belt. The less time Zambrano has on the mound, the less time he has to get mad at his defense and frustrated with the catcher recommended pitches. It is good for his blood pressure – and for the fans’ blood pressure.

Winning has a way of making surprising moves look brilliant. Losing makes them look knee-jerk and desperate. I am curious to find out which type of move this is. My Sports Geek hunch tells me it’s brilliant.

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The New NFL Draft Format Debate… Too Much of a Good Thing IS a Good Thing

April 20, 2010

Read the opposing argument from Loyal Homer.

The NFL Draft is not exactly a made for TV event. At least, it wasn’t until ESPN approached then-commissioner Pete Rozelle 31 years ago with an idea. “Broadcast the NFL Draft and people will watch it,” or something like that, was probably the conversation’s opening line. No matter how the conversation started, it ended with Rozelle agreeing to make the NFL more accessible by broadcasting the draft, a decision that helped transform the league into an unstoppable force in American sports culture. The draft is so popular now with football fans that any change in the format runs the risk of being received negatively. Nevertheless, the league and its primary draft broadcasting partner, ESPN, have teamed up to change the format and approach to the NFL draft. And the draft will actually now be better that it ever was before.

To start, let’s just dispel the notion that the draft did not need to change. Of COURSE it needed to change. The world is changing in how people consume media. You can get draft information and content from virtually every sports-related Web site on the interwebs now (including, obviously, this one). ESPN is in competition with those media outlets that wish to compete with them in their distribution of information about the draft. The only logical thing to do is evolve the medium they control in order to retain eyeballs where they – and their sponsors – want them. Changing the NFL draft to a three day long event captivates fans for a longer period of time, in addition to dealing with the modern realities of media consumption.

It is true that overexposure is sometimes a death knell to once popular events. This new draft format, however, is not overexposure. It is an improved product, especially for Sports Geek’s like me.

First, consider that Thursday nights in America are the one night every week where the most people are watching television. What better place for the first night of the draft, especially considering it features its most universally popular off-season content. The most popular sport in the country welcomes players from another sport among the country’s most popular, college football. Casual and diehard fans alike find this first night of the NFL draft quite appealing. For ESPN, and the NFL, to have an entire night devoted solely to the first round sets up for an intense and dramatic evening and creates a new level of achievement in sports… provided that NFL rookie was a first-day draftee. Now, being a “first-day draft pick” carries a certain caché – and income level. It’s up the players what they make of the new sought-after moniker.

As rounds two and three are drafted on Friday night – the rounds often full of the most valuable draft picks, where talent and financial investment are most properly aligned – some of the casual fans fall by the wayside, but the interest from the diehards picks up substantially. In fact, the second round is viewed by some to be just another first round now that the format is changed. Patriots coach Bill Belichick has publically stated his belief that the extra time will afford each front office more time to research players who are still available, evaluate where competitors sit in draft position, and determine if they wish to move up in the second round or trade down to collect picks. Hmm, sounds a lot like how the first round of the draft is treated.

Belichick continued, “In the past, you kind of rolled into that round. Now, to actually stop and have the whole night to sit there and think about it and talk to other teams and develop a new strategy. Everybody does that on the second day; now we have three days. It’s a different dynamic.”

The man knows what he is talking about, having built several Super Bowl championship teams. The idea that teams get extra time to evaluable talent and competitive position means teams gain more control over the draft, and are able to better execute a strategy. As a fan, I love this idea because it appears to give my favorite team a chance to get better. I am in favor of any draft modifications that give my team the opportunity to get better.

If the second round is similar to the first in its approach because of the extra study time, then the fourth round – which drafts on Saturday, along with the remaining rounds in the draft – can be leveraged by teams in much the same way. Teams may have to spend additional time on their respective drafts boards and scouting, but now if a player gets drafted, the decision will have been more carefully considered when teams have another night to sleep on a decision. Overall, this greatly improves each team’s ability to build a winner.

Fans also get additional intrigue and excitement. No longer is the first day of the draft the most anticipated. All of the analysis can be hashed out after the first round, then new needs are uncovered and new strategies hatched. It is as much about football as political and business maneuvering.

Getting drafted as a player means something more than it used to now. Sure drafted players get a contract and longer look than a free agent does, but imagine being a round five draftee this year. Teams will be positioning themselves to get the players they believe have fallen through the cracks of the previous rounds. Every decision is more carefully weighed, so every pick is put through a new, more intense ringer than ever before.

Fans can now not only better judge their team’s decisions and trust that better decisions will be made, they will also get more time to learn about their team’s newest players. The media will have more time to give background stories and information on these new players, to provide scouting reports and discuss a player’s fit within a particular scheme. It is a free country, so fans that are bored by that do not have to watch. But for those that are intrigued, it is a big win.

Fans win, teams win, and players win. Seems like if those three stakeholders are winners, the league is, too.

The new format is good if you’re a Sports Geek like me, a passion-filled loudmouth like Bleacher Fan, a success-at-all-costs fan like Babe Ruthless… and even a heavily biased Loyal Homer, my opponent in this fine debate. Plus, the NFL takes up more airspace in a down time for the league, sells more ad space on the league-owned cable channel, and fills up its own network with more content than it has ever had before. If there was ever a sports-related win-win (win-win-win), the NFL’s new draft format is just that. For fans, organizations, and the league alike.

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The New NFL Draft Format Debate… A Change For the Worse

April 20, 2010

Read the opposing argument from Sports Geek.

You have been hearing about the NFL Draft for months now. You’ve been reading scouting reports, the needs of each team, mock drafts, and even debates about mock drafts. You are curious to see where the players from your favorite college team will be drafted. Now, it’s time to get ready for a time honored ESPN tradition, and watch hours of coverage on Saturday and Sunday. What? Come again? The draft starts on Thursday? You cannot be serious? What was wrong with the way it was?

I realize that Thursday night isn’t exactly “Must-See-TV” like it was during its peak run in the mid 1990s, and there really won’t be much on TV except for an NBA playoff game. But the point of my argument is that there was absolutely nothing wrong with the old format of the draft. That was my initial reaction when this change was announced several months ago, and my mind hasn’t changed.

Now, I think I know what Sports Geek is going to write in the opposing side of the debate. The point will be made that more eyes will be watching in prime time on Thursday night. That, in itself, remains to be seen. Personally, I loved having the first round of the draft take place on Saturday (even when it began starting a little later a couple of years ago) because, generally speaking, I had nothing to do on Saturday. I’m not one of those guys who has a big draft day party barbecue. But I certainly do sit my behind on the couch and watch the draft, as I would have nothing else to focus on. That’s a good thing because the draft tends to drag on and on, with the first round usually lasting around five hours.

On Thursday night, I will still watch some of the draft. But it’s going to be hard for me to focus my entire attention on the draft, and it’s doubtful I will be awake for the pick number 32. I personally don’t have kids, but those that have children will be tending to the weekday activities with their children, whether it is helping mini-Sports Geek with his homework or reading Lil’ Bleacher Fan-ette her bedtime story… or something of the like. This tends to not be an issue on a Saturday.

Also, at what point does the draft begin to become overkill, not only the fans, but for the teams as well? Many are saying that the new format will give teams more time to reassess the needs of their team after the first day, and after the second day. Haven’t these needs been assessed in the previous months? Many hours have been spent scouting and identifying targeted players. Is the extra time really going to help? No! All it is going to be is bring self-doubt into the picture, and bring in a large portion of over-analysis to an event that already borders on overkill.

Besides, who really wants to listen to Mel Kiper, Jr. for three days?

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