The TSD Best of 2010 Debate… Bad Contracts and Great Context

December 29, 2010

Read the opposing arguments from Loyal Homer and Bleacher Fan.

This was an easy year to love here at TSD. Not only do we enjoy providing entertaining and informative analysis of the current world of sports, we love giving historical context to modern events. In fact, it is the history surrounding a given event that provides the context necessary to understand, appreciate, disparage, or lament. Context and history gives fanaticism meaning. That’s our charge here at The Sports Debates, to give fandom meaning, a dose of reality, yet still keep it entertaining.

In the department of entertaining, there are a few people, organizations, and cities that we pick on routinely. We pick on these not because we are out for blood, but because they routinely showcase everything that should not be done in sports.

We pick on guys like Barry Zito who do everything they can to score a huge contract, and then refuse to hold up their end of the bargain (if you can call it a bargain) and play well. We also pick on the Toronto Blue Jays as we are all baffled by how that city still has an MLB team. We also pick on the Chicago Cubs, because few sports organizations in the history of the world do a worse job of getting out of its own way. It’s laughable and comical. I should know, since I’m a lifelong fan.

My favorite debate of the past year is the “The 2010 Worst Contract in Baseball Debate” as it combines these perpetual sports realities, coincidentally all in MLB, into one neat package that really showcases what this website is all about.

The debate revolved around Barry Zito – who still fails to live up to what he was supposed to be when he signed that huge contract with a San Francisco Giants team that managed to win a World Series without him – Vernon Wells, and Alfonso Soriano.

You, our loyal readers, voted for the winner in this debate and scored us a tie between Barry Zito and Alfonso Soriano. Though the debate still remains tied, it was full of some of the best historical context and most entertaining one liners in any debate all year. My personal favorite line is from Babe Ruthless’ article about Barry Zito where he writes:

Barry Zito was brought to the City by the Bay to be a franchise player, the face of the organization. As it turns out he became a face the organization would probably want to put a paper bag over.

Great line, something the Babe has become known for in his career here at TSD, a tenure that just cracked the one year mark.

My favorite breakdown of the year was the one on Soriano’s contract. What is interesting about is that reviewing the history of Soriano’s career before he came to the Cubs, there was really no good reason to sign him to a huge deal. He had never proven that he understood the game very well, or that any of his processes and abilities were repeatable. In fact, all he has done is prove that he’s a one pitch hitter, an below average outfielder, and a selfish guy who never seems willing to work hard enough to actually contribute to making a team better. Further, realizing that Soriano is the ninth highest paid player in all of MLB is staggering. Considering the actual talent that resides at positions 1-8, it is mind-blowing that Soriano has found his way on to this list.

It was a great debate concept, too. This is a debate that we can have annually in every major professional sport. Heck, maybe we will.

I am also thrilled that Optimist Prime joined our ranks this year. His eternal optimism provides some superb context and a reminder that it is easy for fans to get cynical, and when they do they lose touch with reality. Sports teams are forever doomed to failure. Optimist is important because he reminds us of that. He’s the type of fan that walks Bleacher Fan in off the ledge of Browns Stadium.

I hope you have all enjoyed your sports year as much as we’ve enjoyed writing about it for you. It’s been a strange year in many ways, and a routine year in many others. I look forward to 2011. I hope that we have both an NBA season and an NFL season. Regardless, we’ll have plenty of debates for you. Now that 2010 is history, it becomes part of the history we’ll draw on to keep bringing you what you’ve come to expect from TSD.

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The 2010 Worst Contract in Baseball Debate… Barry Zito Signing, A Giant Mistake

April 12, 2010

Read the opposing arguments from Sports Geek and Loyal Homer.

Not to overstate this, but the San Francisco Giants’ decision to sign Barry Zito is one of the worst decisions in the history of mankind. Seriously, it was an epically disastrous decision. We are talking hiring O.J. Simpson as your marriage counselor bad. But Zito swindled the Giants for so much money it would make Bernie Madoff jealous, and Zito will continue to make out like a bandit for years to come. Barry Zito clearly has the worst contract in baseball.

Prior to the 2007 season, the San Francisco Giants signed the former Oakland Athletics ace to a whopping seven year contract worth approximately $126M. In the wake of huge spending sprees in baseball recently that may not sound like much, but at the time this was a record breaking deal. It was the most lucrative contract given to a pitcher in baseball history. Today the only pitchers with larger contracts are C.C. Sabathia ($161M) and Johan Santana ($137.5M). Currently Zito ranks 13th out of all players in baseball in terms of value of their overall contract.

Some might think me hypocritical for questioning the Giants decision to drop that type of cash on a player, but my problem is not with money. Rather, my issue is with what the Giants were getting for there money. Zito was probably the best free agent on the market that offseason, but the Giants were still seriously overpaying. In 2006, the year before he signed with San Francisco, Zito pitched for 16 wins and 10 losses with a stat line of 3.83 ERA, 1.40 WHIP, and 151 strikeouts. While that seems respectable enough, eighteen other pitchers had at least 16 wins that seasons, and nine of those pitchers had a better ERA. So, what exactly did the Giants see in him that the rest of us were missing?

Maybe they liked the fact that he had thrown at least 214 innings in every season since his rookie year. Maybe they were enthralled with his 2002 season where he won an astonishing 23 games. Maybe it was his 205 strikeouts in 2001. But whatever potential for greatness Zito’s career numbers seemed to indicate to the Giants, they were not acquiring that pitcher.

What the Giants ended up with was an overpaid, glorified innings eater. In three years playing for San Francisco Zito has only posted losing seasons. He has yet to exceed 11 wins in any one season. He has failed to reach 200 innings in any season for the Giants, and his ERA has ballooned to more over four (4.53 in 2007, 5.15 in 2008, and 4.03 in 2009). It was even rumored that the Giants have considered sending Zito to the minors. Who could blame them? He is no longer a feared pitching ace, as much as a pitiful creature. To put it bluntly, Zito is a bum. I know it sounds harsh but sometimes the truth hurts.

Now, here’s the rub. It is not Barry Zito’s fault. All Zito did was accept an offer which will allow him to provide for his family for generations to come. He did not force anyone to give him that much money and a full no trade clause. So who is to blame, you ask? Brian Sabean. The blame falls squarely on the shoulders of the general manager who signed Zito. It was Sabean’s responsibility to ensure that Zito would produce, which he has not. It was Sabean’s responsibility to build an escape clause for the Giants should things head South, which he did not. Because of Sabean, Barry Zito has the worst contract in baseball.

My competition for today’s debate, Sports Geek and Loyal Homer, are going to argue that Alfonso Soriano and Vernon Wells have worse contracts. I will admit that both players also have bad contracts (Soriano eight years $136M and Wells seven years $126M), but Zito’s deal is far worse. Soriano and Wells are position players and their contracts are paying them to play in 162 games each season. Zito, a pitcher, is being paid to go out and perform once about every five days. That means the Giants are paying $126 for around 30 starts each season. When those 30 starts yield just ten or 11 wins that is a recipe for the biggest contract bust in baseball. The Cubs and Blue Jays are getting more bang for their buck than the Giants.

Barry Zito was brought to the City by the Bay to be a franchise player, the face of the organization. As it turns out he became a face the organization would probably want to put a paper bag over. Zito has the worst contract in baseball and it looks like the Giants are going to have ride this disaster out.

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The 2010 Spring Training Best Rotation Debate – Giant Season in Store for San Francisco

February 26, 2010

Read the opposing arguments from Loyal Homer and Babe Ruthless.

If pitching rotations were two players deep, this debate would start and stop with the Seattle Mariners. The addition of Cy Young award winner Cliff Lee and the ability to resign an already proven Felix Hernandez makes the Mariners tough in any short series.

The problem with the Mariners rotation is that it drops off so severely after those two guys up front. And while the media (and Babe Ruthless) will donate a lot of time to trumpeting the greatness of the Yankees and the Red Sox, the best rotation in baseball right now as Spring Training is about to start is a sleeping Giant in the City by the Bay.

Most rotations in the major leagues have at least two solid starters. Good rotations require depth and two solid top rotation starters. The Giants have both, and are very dangerous as a result.

The Giants rotation as of right now is:

  1. Tim Lincecum
  2. Matt Cain
  3. Barry Zito
  4. Jonathan Sanchez
  5. Madison Bumgarner

We all know how great Tim Lincecum is. He is a two-time Cy Young award winner, and an ERA of three or over seems like a bad season to him. After a 2.62 ERA in 2008 (where he won a Cy Young award) he lowered it to 2.48 last season in his second award winning campaign. He also added four complete games, further proving his elite pitching status. But, I do not need to devote many pixels to proving Lincecum is an elite pitcher. We all know that.

Part of the reason I believe the Giants’ pitching staff is poised to breakout out is because of the development shown by young Matt Cain. Cain has gotten progressively better in each major league campaign, culminating in an outstanding 2009 season where he finished with a sub-three ERA (2.89, to be exact), and allowed just 70 earned runs throughout his 33 starts and 217-plus innings. Cain is not a strikeout pitcher, which makes him even more impressive. Lincecum will blow the ball right by hitters. Cain will induce ground balls and be efficient with pitches, adding another four complete games last season.

Now we start to uncover the depth of the Giants pitching staff. Barry Zito was supposed to be an anchor pitcher for the staff when the Giants shelled out record cash for him two long seasons ago. Zito, too, is a former Cy Young award winner. But, injuries forced changes in his mechanics. He has not thrown 200 innings since 2006. So, why is he such an important part of this pitching staff? Because something happened late last season with Barry Zito. Whatever mechanical inconsistencies he was suffered suddenly became resolved. Zito posted a 1.93 ERA in August, and finished the second half of the season with 2.83 ERA. Now the Giants rotation is not just top heavy… now a former Cy Young winner returning to form is good enough to fill the three spot in the rotation. Scary.

Young Jonathan Sanchez, the fourth starter in the Giants rotation, does not seem to be that important when skimming the stats. He did record a career best 4.24 ERA last season, but he grew in other ways, too. First, he threw a no-hitter. As good as Lincecum is, he does not have a no-hitter. After beginning the 2009 season with a 4.69 ERA, Sanchez posted a 3.83 after the break. That is excellent for a fourth starter. More, he had a 2.61 ERA in August. Sanchez has shown tremendous growth and the capacity to be a steady contributor in the rotation.

The fifth spot in the rotation is generally interchangeable. That is the case in San Francisco, at least for now. But, a young prospect named Madison Bumgarner is showing some promise. He only made one start last season, so the 1.80 ERA is not really a stat worth anything at this point. But, Bumgarner struck out 10 in that game. While some are concerned about a sudden drop in velocity from Bumgarner at the end of last season, throwing a fastball between 88-90 miles per hour did not seem to have any negative impact on his performance. In fact, the Giants coaching staff is not alarmed at all, and Bumgarner will have the opportunity to round out an already impressive pitching staff for the Giants as they enter 2010.

Certainly it is hard to predict how well the Giants will do this season. Who knows how good the bullpen will be, the defense behind this complete pitching staff, or the team’s hitting. One thing is for sure, the team that welcomed the major’s best staff to Spring Training last week was the San Francisco Giants.

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