The TSD Best of 2010 Debate… Bad Contracts and Great Context

December 29, 2010

Read the opposing arguments from Loyal Homer and Bleacher Fan.

This was an easy year to love here at TSD. Not only do we enjoy providing entertaining and informative analysis of the current world of sports, we love giving historical context to modern events. In fact, it is the history surrounding a given event that provides the context necessary to understand, appreciate, disparage, or lament. Context and history gives fanaticism meaning. That’s our charge here at The Sports Debates, to give fandom meaning, a dose of reality, yet still keep it entertaining.

In the department of entertaining, there are a few people, organizations, and cities that we pick on routinely. We pick on these not because we are out for blood, but because they routinely showcase everything that should not be done in sports.

We pick on guys like Barry Zito who do everything they can to score a huge contract, and then refuse to hold up their end of the bargain (if you can call it a bargain) and play well. We also pick on the Toronto Blue Jays as we are all baffled by how that city still has an MLB team. We also pick on the Chicago Cubs, because few sports organizations in the history of the world do a worse job of getting out of its own way. It’s laughable and comical. I should know, since I’m a lifelong fan.

My favorite debate of the past year is the “The 2010 Worst Contract in Baseball Debate” as it combines these perpetual sports realities, coincidentally all in MLB, into one neat package that really showcases what this website is all about.

The debate revolved around Barry Zito – who still fails to live up to what he was supposed to be when he signed that huge contract with a San Francisco Giants team that managed to win a World Series without him – Vernon Wells, and Alfonso Soriano.

You, our loyal readers, voted for the winner in this debate and scored us a tie between Barry Zito and Alfonso Soriano. Though the debate still remains tied, it was full of some of the best historical context and most entertaining one liners in any debate all year. My personal favorite line is from Babe Ruthless’ article about Barry Zito where he writes:

Barry Zito was brought to the City by the Bay to be a franchise player, the face of the organization. As it turns out he became a face the organization would probably want to put a paper bag over.

Great line, something the Babe has become known for in his career here at TSD, a tenure that just cracked the one year mark.

My favorite breakdown of the year was the one on Soriano’s contract. What is interesting about is that reviewing the history of Soriano’s career before he came to the Cubs, there was really no good reason to sign him to a huge deal. He had never proven that he understood the game very well, or that any of his processes and abilities were repeatable. In fact, all he has done is prove that he’s a one pitch hitter, an below average outfielder, and a selfish guy who never seems willing to work hard enough to actually contribute to making a team better. Further, realizing that Soriano is the ninth highest paid player in all of MLB is staggering. Considering the actual talent that resides at positions 1-8, it is mind-blowing that Soriano has found his way on to this list.

It was a great debate concept, too. This is a debate that we can have annually in every major professional sport. Heck, maybe we will.

I am also thrilled that Optimist Prime joined our ranks this year. His eternal optimism provides some superb context and a reminder that it is easy for fans to get cynical, and when they do they lose touch with reality. Sports teams are forever doomed to failure. Optimist is important because he reminds us of that. He’s the type of fan that walks Bleacher Fan in off the ledge of Browns Stadium.

I hope you have all enjoyed your sports year as much as we’ve enjoyed writing about it for you. It’s been a strange year in many ways, and a routine year in many others. I look forward to 2011. I hope that we have both an NBA season and an NFL season. Regardless, we’ll have plenty of debates for you. Now that 2010 is history, it becomes part of the history we’ll draw on to keep bringing you what you’ve come to expect from TSD.

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The Firing an MLB GM Debate… Hendry’s Approach Makes Consistent Winning Elusive

April 19, 2010

Read the opposing arguments from Loyal Homer and Babe Ruthless.

Okay, so this must be obvious to you loyal readers. “Of course Sports Geek wants to fire Jim Hendry,” you may be thinking. “He thinks the worst contract in baseball belongs to Alfonso Soriano, therefore the worst GM must be Chicago Cubs GM Jim Hendry.”

If you are thinking that, quit patting yourself on the back – you’re only partly right. While Soriano’s contract is DEFINITELY the worst in baseball, it is just one of the few gems Hendry has cobbled together during his tenure as general manager for the Cubs. But, before diving into another vitriolic catharsis for Sports Geek, allow me to first compliment Jim Hendry.

Part of the reason Hendry is most deserving of a pink slip is because he set expectations very high for himself when he first was named GM with the Cubs.

July 5, 2002. Cubs fans everywhere have assumed their normal levels of frustration as the season is already over. After that season Hendry made a few valuable, shrewd moves that made many fans into believers. First, he signed Dusty Baker as Cubs manager. At the time that seemed like a good move, given that Baker was coming off of a season where he managed the Giants to the World Series. Then he traded away rightfully unpopular Cubs catcher Todd Hundley in return for two players that would help the Cubs get to within a fistful of outs of the 2003 World Series – Eric Karros and Mark Grudzielanek. After a couple of seemingly solid moves Hendry upped the anty again by trading flamed out prospects Bobby Hill and Jose Hernandez to the Pirates for Aramis Ramirez. Signing bench players Kenny Lofton and Randal Simon made a good season of moves a great one.

At this point, the first-time GM is riding an incredible high of success, even after the bitter loss to the Marlins in the Bartman-dominated NLCS. Then he traded for the one player that killed the Cubs in the NLCS – first baseman Derrek Lee. Now it seemed as though the Cubs would be unstoppable thanks to the savvy leadership of a strong GM.

Though the team failed to make the World Series, it appeared as though they were set up to win for a long time. Strong pitching, plenty of pop in the lineup, and enough relief pitchers to make the game manageable.

I think Hendry’s star began to fade with the Sammy Sosa trade in 2005, two years removed from his peak. Hendry waited too long to pull the trigger on that move, and got only Jerry Hairston, Jr., Mike Fontenot, and a dude named Dave Crouthers in return. More was on the table for Sosa if Hendry had the guts to jettison him sooner, knowing the type of negative clubhouse presence Sosa had established himself as.

After a series of small, meaningless moves Hendry agreed with Dusty Baker that the team needed a strong leadoff hitter. For some reason Hendry believed that hitter was Juan Pierre. To this day I do not understand how he could have traded for Juan Pierre, let alone let three talented young pitchers slip through the system. Hendry was never big on on-base percentage, either – which is odd since baseball leaders began being down with OBP long ago. Hendry should have realized that Pierre’s career .347 OBP was not going to help the club much. Not to mention the fact that Pierre was coming off a career worst OBP of .326. Better was needed.

After the Pierre head-scratcher, and a few more meaningless moves, Hendry traded away Greg Maddux for Cesar Izturis. It’s true that Maddux had an expiring contract and was unsure of his status at season’s end, but the Cubs always needed strong starting pitching, especially when the playoffs rolled around. Hendry traded a viable, albeit aging, Hall-of-Famer for a one-time gold glover with a .259 career batting average. Look out, Neifi Perez, here comes your position battle.

Then came the under-the-radar but important decision to give up Josh Hamilton for cash after drafting him in the Rule 5 draft. Hendry admitted liking Hamilton but did not have the guts to stick to his guns about him.

The big free agent offseason, when Hendry signed Ted Lilly and Alfonso Soriano, again proved that Hendry’s nose for talent was stuffy. Lilly has been solid, not great, and Soriano has been a shell of his former self. Hendry cannot argue money was limiting his own ability, since he had a lot of money to work with that offseason and wasted it on yet another player in Soriano that would not know consistency if it hit him in the face over and over and over… well, you get the drift.

Some Cubs fans felt that Hendry had recaptured the magic when trading a handful of teetering prospects for A’s pitcher Rich Harden. Harden’s injury history, however, precluded him from having the type of dependable spot in the rotation any playoff team needs – and that was a known issue with Harden. While talented, Harden made the management process more complicated after eliminating the babying needs from the staff in Mark Prior and Kerry Wood.

Some Cubs fans also liked bringing in Lou Piniella as the new manager of the Cubs after finally firing Dusty Baker – at least one year too late. And, though Piniella is not immune to mistakes, a roster chalked full of bloated contracts and empty uniforms like the Alfonso Soriano, Carlos Zambrano, Kosuke Fukudome, and Geovany Soto create a very difficult situation. It is evident that Piniella still understands how to manage a team. But the talent he has to work with – which Hendry is responsible for – is preventing success.

The problems with Jim Hendry, other than questionable trades and managerial hirings, come down to philosophy. Hendry believes the Cubs should be built around pitchers who can get strike outs and hitters who can hit home runs. This is an unrealistic approach to GMing at Wrigley. Those homers seem great when the wind is blowing out. But it blows in a lot, too. The Cubs have never been able to create runs under Hendry with a lineup full of professional hitters who can hit and run or simply bunt a run over. The Cubs, under Hendry, have never been a team able to put constant pressure on opposing hitters. It is all or nothing with the Cubs’ lineup… with the latter usually winning out.

Constructing a team around strike outs and home runs is not the way to build consistent production that is necessary to win October. The Cubs no longer have the luxury of lovably losing. They must win a World Series, or else the only consistency Hendry has given the Cubs is a commitment to losing.

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The 2010 Worst Contract in Baseball Debate… Hendry SHOULD Have Said SoriaNO

April 12, 2010

Read the opposing arguments from Babe Ruthless and Loyal Homer.

With all due respect to my colleagues (and they are due respect), they are freakin’ off their rockers if they think they found a worse contract in professional baseball than the one with Alfonso Soriano’s scrawl on it.

Soriano is in year four of an eight year contract that will pay him $136M. He will receive ONLY $136M because, though his contract does have performance incentives in them, he will never reach them. That guaranteed $136M is his BASE salary for eight pointless years on Chicago’s North Side. Included in this joke of a contract was an $8M signing bonus and a full no-trade clause (which just seems ironic at this point). Those performance incentives are for being the top vote getting in the All-Star voting (how many times can Mrs. Soriano vote before getting carpal tunnel, I wonder), for being the World Series MVP, LCS MVP, MLB MVP, or winning a gold glove. Ha. Ha. How ambitious was Soriano’s agent, Diego Bentz, or how drunk was Cubs general manager Jim Hendry, to even consider such outlandish performance incentives. Given Soriano’s track record and career contributions, how were those achievements considered realistic?

Speaking of Diego Bentz, did you know that he gets paid $850,000 for each year of Soriano’s contract? For those of you quick at math, that is $6.8M. Kudos, Diego – but I think you should be in jail for fraud.

Before taking a deeper dive into the finer points of Soriano’s embarrassing contract, here is some context. Soriano’s contract is currently the ninth largest in Major League Baseball. You are probably asking, “But Sports Geek, surely there are worse players than Soriano in the top eight players.” If you are saying that, then you would be mistaken. Here is a list of the eight players in front of Soriano:

  1. Alex Rodriguez: $275M
  2. Derek Jeter: $252M
  3. Joe Mauer: $189M
  4. Mark Teixiera: $180
  5. C.C. Sabathia: $161M
  6. Miguel Cabrera: $152.3M
  7. Todd Helton: $151.5M
  8. Johan Santana: $137.5M
  9. Alfonso Soriano: $136M

Baseball contracts – like any contract in any business – are all about value. Value is determined primarily by calculating the return on a given investment.

Rodriguez, Jeter, Teixiera, and Sabathia have all delivered championships for their team, therefore the return on investment is solid. While Mauer, Cabrera, Helton, and Santana have not yet won championships they still share a common trait of not sucking. Joe Mauer is one of the top catchers in the majors and fresh off an MVP season where he hit a stellar .365 to win the batting title. Even in a down year where Cabrera was accused of being overweight and under-motivated he hit .292, belted 37 homers, and notched an AL leading 331 total bases. Todd Helton had one bad season where he hit .264, but he also suffered from injuries all season. For his career he is a .328 batter. Santana has only posted three full seasons with an ERA over three in his entire career. And even when his ERA was over three, 3.33 was where it topped out… which was in 2007 when he was still fifth in Cy Young voting.

And then we arrive at Soriano. Impressively, Soriano has struck out 1,189 times in his career. Amazing, especially when you consider that he has earned lucked into a walk just 338 times. That is a good indication that Soriano is a junk ball hitter and total free swinger. He makes it seem as though Jacques Jones has the patience of Ted Williams. Soriano is a one pitch hitter, like Jobu from Major League.

Soriano’s batting average has dropped each season with the Cubs, as has his on base percentage and slugging percentage. The inverse relationships between his yearly salary and on-field production is suspect.

Do you remember those incentives for postseason performance? Here’s why they’re a crock. Soriano is a lifetime .213 hitter in the postseason, including .143 and .071 for two postseason campaigns with the Cubs. In 44 career postseason games he has walked (SOMEhow) nine times… compared to 53 whiffs. At least the Cubs will get a bargain on postseason payouts.

You may be thinking that, though Soriano’s stats certainly are not very good, surely he must realize that fact and announce he is going to redouble his efforts and improve his game, right? Wrong.

“I still have the talent,” he was quoted as saying in a Washington Post article a few weeks ago. “The only thing for me is to stay healthy, so I can help the team win. If I stay healthy, I will put up the numbers.”

Anyone interested in a big glass of denial?

This is partly an article about Soriano, and partly an article devoted to the long-forgotten promise of one James Hendry, the general manager for the Chicago Cubs.

We have all had those “moments” in our professional work lives where everything just gets overwhelming. The normal human response is to request some time off, clear the cobwebs, and comeback refreshed and ready to maintain your creativity. In fact, studies show that the most creative people are the ones who do a good job balancing work and their personal lives. When Jim Henry completed the deal to sign free agent pitching Ted Lilly in 2006 he was hooked up to an EKG machine. That, Jim, was a clear sign that it was time to take a few days and regroup. What many in the press applauded as a Herculean effort was in truth the death of creativity for a once promising general manager.

Had Hendry not been exhausted or overwhelmed or been given too many resources or whatever the excuse du jour is, he probably would have noticed some alarming statistics that should have prevented the signing. For example, as baseball heads deeper into the sabermetrics era, Hendry completely missed that signing a leadoff hitter who gets on base once every three at bats is just not good enough. A total of 406 strikeouts in the three years preceding the signing are not good for a leadoff hitter and are a rally killer at any point in the game. Bottom line, with a stat line like Soriano’s it should have been evident that he – like his contract – would be an albatross on consistent production. Hendry’s unwillingness to acknowledge that Soriano was not built for the long run, and remain enamored with the desire to fill the Cubs lineup with home run hitters, triggered an eight year mistake. As a loyal Cubs fan, I would take a three year Milton Bradley mistake over an eight year Soriano mistake every time.

From now until 2014 Alfonso Soriano will earn $18M every season. That is pretty good for a player who always avoided or lost in arbitration. That is pretty good for a player that started his career in Japan where he hit .118 before signing with the Yankees as a minor leaguer. The Cubs are stuck with Soriano because they had newly minted resources flowing through their pockets during a Winter where Soriano was the best alternative. Despite statistics, logic, and “gut feel,” the Cubs signed Soriano to what is now, without a doubt, the worst contract in professional baseball.

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