The MLB Phenom Call Up Debate… Counting Your Heyward’s Before They Hatch

April 28, 2010

Read the opposing arguments from Loyal Homer and Sports Geek.

In today’s debate, Loyal Homer dispensed with any pretense that he was not enamored with Jason Heyward’s long ball (that sounds so creepy, but I mean it platonically). Loyal Homer absolutely gushed about J-Hey’s ability to save the franchise. He explains that Heyward’s potential to resurrect a hapless Braves ball club warrants his call to the majors in spite of potential draw backs in arbitration and free agent eligibility. Loyal Homer skillfully points out the fact that Heyward’s bat has been a difference maker in the few games the Braves have won so far this season. I was impressed to see an aggressive side to Loyal Homer when he actually argued from a “win now” perspective, quite a departure from the norm for this Atlanta Braves fan. He ended his argument on the emphatic point that the bottom line for the Braves is that no one can predict the future, and the club needs Heyward sooner rather than later.

The Sports Geek disagrees with Loyal Homer, but he does so without underscoring the enormous talent and upside that Jason Heyward brings with him to Atlanta. Instead he explains that Heyward may never reach his full potential without spending more time developing all aspects of his game in the minors. Citing the cautionary tale of Jeff Francoeur, he explains that although Heyward is displaying plate discipline and power he still might lack staying power. Sports Geek provides a reminder that all the judgments made about Heyward so far have been based off of a relatively small sample size.

Sports Geek also made reference to Joba Chamberlain’s early success in the Majors. Chamberlain figured to be a great starting pitcher, but he experienced early success in the role of a lights-out setup man. Giving Joba the ball in the eighth inning meant you could rest assured the Yankees would bring in the Hammer of God – Mariano Rivera – in the ninth to seal the deal. But because of the hurrying of the maturation process, Chamberlain never got to fully develop his ability as a starter. He is still a great player, but Yankees fans might always wonder what might have been. While I take issue with the Sports Geek’s belief that Joba Chamberlain is no longer the pitcher he once was – because I believe he is, and he is just not being used effectively – I will agree that more time in the minors may have provided a more polished player in the end. (And, for the record, if Jacobs Field was not a veritable swamp, and Indians fans displayed proper hygiene – i.e. one that did not attract bugs – the Joba story may have turned out very differently.)

Both authors made strong cases, and I legitimately had a difficult time choosing a winner. On one hand, the Sports Geek points out that history seems to favor the prudent approach of letting prospects take all the time they need to develop. But on the other hand, Loyal Homer points out that the Braves may not have the luxury of granting Heyward that time if they want to stay in contention.

At first it seemed to me to be an argument centered around the premise of should a club make moves to win now or win in the future, until I realized that it seems like the Braves are poised to do neither.

The Braves are currently ranked at the bottom of their division and boast a record just one game better than the league worst. Yes, I know it is still early, but that is exactly my point. Rushing Heyward to the Bigs would make more sense if he were the missing piece to a playoff bound team, but that is not the case. The Braves are stumbling out of the gate in a very competitive division. Having Heyward on the roster at this point seems like a luxury rather than a necessity. That’s why I am awarding the victory to the Sports Geek. His examples of Jeff Francoeur and Joba Chamberlain were too telling to ignore. I respect Loyal Homer’s win now attitude and desire to put a winner like Heyward on the roster, I just do not think the timing is right.

In the end, Heyward is still a star in waiting – but the operative word should be waiting. Perhaps Bobby Cox wanted to see what Heyward could do before he retired, or maybe Atlanta execs wanted to sell more seats, but the best interest of the club and the player would have been to stick with what Atlanta knows best – developing winners in the farm system.

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The MLB Phenom Call Up Debate… The MLB Phenom Debate

April 27, 2010

Read the opposing arguments from Loyal Homer and Sports Geek.

Every now and then a sports franchise lucks upon a special homegrown talent, and even more often the cliché “diamond in the rough” is used to describe them. But in baseball the analogy is actually appropriate. Like diamonds, baseball prospects often need time and pressure to harden and polish. Sometimes, however, a team’s circumstances expedite the process and the diamond never reaches full potential. Which brings us to today’s question: Did the Atlanta Braves call rookie phenom Jason Heyward up too soon?

Teams like the Baltimore Orioles and Tampa Bay Rays were certainly tempted to hurry the maturation process of their stars in waiting Matt Weiters and Evan Longoria, but they were patient. Now they are reaping all the benefits. Their timing was right and it is paying huge dividends. Considering the way Heyward was rushed to the Bigs, will the same hold true for the Braves? He is already showing flashes of extreme brilliance, but time will tell if he can keep it up.

Both Loyal Homer and the Sports Geek will attempt to answer these questions in today’s debate. Loyal Homer will argue that the Braves decision to call up Heyward was a calculated risk that will pay off big, while Sports Geek will attempt to prove that the decision was actually a presumptuous miscalculation.

Whose argument was meant for the Majors and whose argument needs to be designated for the minors? Gentlemen make your best pitch.

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The MLB Phenom Call Up Debate… Better Later Than Now

April 27, 2010

Read the opposing argument from Loyal Homer.

Talent sure does create some high class problems, doesn’t it? If it weren’t for Jason Heyward, the Atlanta Braves would not have to be concerned with arbitration eligibility, or the merits of bringing up the young player to the Major Leagues too soon, or overloading a talented young kid. Unfortunately for the Braves, they have befallen a very unfortunate – though seemingly rare – situation where a young prospect seems so good that the team has no choice but allow a 20-year-old kid to begin the season in the show.

But, the Braves have taken some criticism for giving Heyward a trip North with the big club in late March. Some critics believe that Heyward’s early call up prevents the occasionally stingy Braves from having an extra year of arbitration protection on its best young player. The belief is that the Braves have sacrificed long term greatness for short term gain. I only half-buy the missing arbitration arugment because it is inherently cautious… a trait far too prominent in sports for some fans. My issue is partly with losing control of a talented player a year sooner that is possible (especially when the trade off is only a six week wait at the beginning of the season), and partly with what an early call up does to stunt the growth of a burgeoning talent.

I admit that while it is impossible to avoid falling in love with Jason Heyward as Loyal Homer, it is similarly difficult as Sports Geek. He is an excellent, better than usual for his age. But he is far from perfect, especially considering the 20-year-old has spent a brief two seasons in the minor leagues.

As good as he is now – and if you want to read the love-fest Loyal Homer has, be my guest… parental advisory, though – the most important aspect of his game is still upside. He has not proven over a long haul that he is able to adjust to pitchers and make the kinds of adjustments – even during an individual at bat – that are necessary to achieve long term greatness.

In short, for every Jason Heyward there is a thousand Corey Patterson’s.

Mortgage the future, and perpetually rebuild. Observe the trip down memory lane we all took last week when I recounted the various mistakes by Chicago Cubs general manager Jim Hendry. Case after case shows that Hendry’s desire to win now put reason in the back seat, and clouded his long term judgment. Win now is a good and proper sports philosophy, but not at the expense of rational management.

There is a substantial difference between caution and prudence. Take, for example, the case of Joba Chamberlain. Here is another all world prospect that had many folks very excited. His potential seemed limitless, both in his physical characteristics and his mental toughness and emotion. He was exciting, talented, and entertaining all in one – the perfect player for New York City (kind of how Jason Heyward, the Georgia native, is the perfect player for Atlanta).

Joba’s shut down pitches and intensity came to a halt one October evening in Cleveland as he battled some gnats. Well, not just any gnats, super-hyper, annoying gnats. The gnats – and the Cleveland Indians – defeated Joba that night. Since that resulting loss of confidence, Chamberlain has suffered through some different roles on the team and battled some injuries. One thing is clear – he is not the same pitcher he was once believed to be.

My point with the Joba example is that lots of talented, perfect-for-the-city-players appear to be unstoppable right when they come up to the big club – especially if their entrance onto the big stage is fast… like only two seasons in the minors fast (read: Heyward). Caution would not have helped Joba, but prudence may have turned him into a viable, effective pitcher for the long haul.

Keeping a player longer in the minor leagues is not just about what the big club currently is not getting right away or the obvious benefits of keeping a player’s rights for a longer period of time. It is about the development of the young player and doing what is necessary to ensure his long term success. Triple A and Major League pitching is different because of a heavy reliance on breaking pitches. It is harder to be a professional hitter at the upper levels of baseball, which is Heyward’s primary objective with a mere 13 plate appearances at the AAA or higher level coming into the 2010 season. Despite his hot start – and trust me, April is not time to evaluate how good a player will be long term – Heyward has never demonstrated an ability to be a professional hitter and sustain success for a long period of time.

The Braves should have already learned this lesson with Jeff Francoeur. As a rookie the 21-year-old hit .300 and set baseball writer’s pens to paper. His 14 home runs were a bunch for a rookie and he was also a native Georgian. But over time Francoeur showed he did not have the professional stamina to be a great hitter for a long period of time – something extra conditioning in the minor leagues would have helped. In fact, it DID help him, to a degree, when he was embarrassingly sent BACK to the minors after a few seasons in the majors.

I am not saying Jason Heyward is Jeff Francoeur. I am saying that players are all different, but far more often than not prudence is warranted regarding phenom call ups. Long term success is much more important for the team and the player because the goal should not be to win a World Series and sail off into the sunset, but to dominate a sport for years. The Braves used to know something about that, but have not made the right decisions in recent seasons to reach long term dominance again like a team like the Yankees has.

If a team’s chosen path to long term success is through cultivating young talent (not buying it, like the Yankees do), then fans and front offices must be patient and allow the talent to germinate. Rushing a player to give the MLB club a great few months early in a season does not give the team help when it really needs it – in October and beyond.

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The MLB Phenom Call Up Debate… The Future Is Now

April 27, 2010

Read the opposing argument from Sports Geek.

As a lifelong Braves fan, I’ve been excited for some time now about the arrival of Jason Heyward. He’s essentially a hometown hero, having grown up in McDonough, Georgia, which is about 25 miles south of Atlanta on I-75. Once he was drafted in the 2007 MLB draft and later signed, the buzz started building. The hype hit a peak this Spring when he littered the players’ parking lot in Spring training with home run balls. It actually forced the Braves’ hand and made them make plan to install a net in front of the parking lot. Yet through all of this, there was still some doubt that Heyward would be on the opening day roster. If the Braves left him off the opening day roster, they would have had control of him for an extra year as far as his contract goes. Fortunately for the Braves and Braves fans, they decided to not only keep J-Hey (as he is often referred to) on the roster and slot him in as the starting right fielder.

Making his debut at a frenzied and sold out Turner Field on April 5 against the Chicago Cubs, Heyward homered in his first at-bat, drilling a Carlos Zambrano 2-0 pitch 446 feet deep over the right field wall. That helped lead the Braves to an opening day 16-5 victory. That was only the beginning, as the seal has just broken. Taking a quick look at the Braves first 19 games, Heyward has had a big hand in many of the Braves games thus far and has already established himself as the leading candidate for National League rookie of the year.

On April 18, with the Braves trailing 3-2 in the bottom of the ninth to the Colorado Rockies, Heyward went opposite field with the bases loaded to knock in two runs to snatch victory from the jaws of defeat. Just two days later, against the Philadelphia Phillies, Heyward tied the game in the bottom of the ninth with a home run. It’s a game the Braves went on to win in extra innings. Those are two games in the past nine days are games that the Braves likely would not have won without the services of Heyward. Ironically enough, those are the only two games in the past nine days that the Braves have won!

Heyward’s also brought buzz to a city that has been itching for its baseball team to return to greatness. Granted, the Braves are currently 8-11 and in the midst of a six game losing streak, but are somehow only three games back in the NL East. And yet, the talk of the town is fixated on Heyward. Attendance is up at Braves games, which is saying something as attendance usually does not pick up in Atlanta until school lets out for the summer. He is drawing comparisons to Ryan Howard, who, in case you haven’t heard, became very rich yesterday. I have friends who check the box score just to see how Heyward did. Braves fever is catching back on! If the Braves turn it around on the field and get in a pennant race this summer, you will really see this thing take off.

The bottom line in this debate is that you cannot worry about what happens five years from now. I’m a firm believer in that those things tend to take care of themselves. That’s an issue for another day. Today, it’s important to focus on winning. Having Jason Heyward in the lineup gives the Braves the best chance to win.

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