The Length of the MLB Season Debate – Addition By Subtraction is Not the Answer

October 21, 2009

Read the debate intro, Sports Geek’s argument that the length of the baseball season is appropriate, and Loyal Homer’s argument that 162 games is too many.



I always find it interesting to discuss potential changes to the game of baseball. Because the game is so steeped in tradition, it can be difficult to imagine an alternative of any kind to the game we see today. Traditionalists, purists, and baseball historians instantly bristle at the idea of deviation from the tried-and-true formula that is the game they cherish. To them, a change to the format of baseball is tantamount to changing the words of the Star Spangled Banner.

On the other hand, tradition should not be upheld for its own sake. For example, hitters did not always wear batting helmets when stepping up to the plate, and as Sports Geek points out, many of the early ballparks did not have a home run fence. A more recent example of a very radical change to the game of baseball was the realignment of the league following the 1993 season, and the addition of the postseason wildcard team.

The important factor in determining whether or not to alter tradition is value. Does the proposed change improve the game of baseball or not? In the context of yesterday’s debate, the question comes down to whether or not baseball is better served by shortening its season. Can Major League Baseball improve its product by condensing their season? In a short, no it cannot.

I am awarding the ‘W’ to Sports Geek, who raised two points which demonstrate the real value of a 162 game schedule, both from a financial and a statistical standpoint.

Financially, it makes sense to play as many games as possible. Simply put – playing more games creates the opportunity to sell more tickets and to televise games, both of which add revenue. If baseball were to shorten its season, ticket prices would have to be raised in order to offset the lost revenue from the fewer games that are played. If the Pittsburgh Pirates thought it was hard to sell tickets now, just imagine if the franchise raised ticket prices by five percent to account for a five percent decrease in the number of games played!

Statistically speaking, Sports Geek is also correct in identifying the need for quantity in order to determine a valid measurement. A hitter may bat 1.000 for his average if he only has one at-bat. While that one at-bat may have been successful, it is in no way a measure of success over the entire season. In order to truly gauge the success of a baseball player, the opportunity must exist for that player to demonstrate consistent success over an extended period of time. In football, for example, a quarterback may throw the ball 500 – 600 times in a season. There are significantly more opportunities within a single game of football for a player to prove their ability for sustained success over an extended period of time. For a hitter in baseball who may step up to the plate only three or four times per game, more games are necessary in order to create that same amount of opportunity to establish statistical relevance.

For Loyal Homer’s part, the issue is raised that the baseball season could extend until November 5th, which would make the length of the 2009 season a full seven months. While that may seem like a long time, it is not that far off from the other professional sports in America. The NFL kicked its 2009 season off on September 10th while the Super Bowl is scheduled for February 7th of 2010. The NFL season is five months long, and it only schedules ten percent of the games played in baseball. The NBA season stretches from October into June, a full eight months in length. When considering the number of games played in baseball compared to the other major sports, requiring only seven months to crown a champion is relatively short.

It should also be noted that competition between the leagues is unavoidable. We are not discussing high school sports, where the seasons are segmented to avoid overlapping. The timing of the NBA and NFL seasons allow for a gap of less than three months between their respective schedules. It is therefore unrealistic to expect Major League Baseball to condense its schedule into a three-month window just so the league can minimize competition with the NBA postseason and the kickoff of the NFL season.

In reality, thanks to the media obsession with the NFL, professional football has actually become a year-round spectacle. This season, the Super Bowl is scheduled for early February, officially concluding the 2009 season. It should be noted, though, that the Scouting Combines for the 2010 season are scheduled to begin only 17 days after the Super Bowl is played. The Combines will last for approximately one week, and are followed immediately by the opening of free agency. Just one month after free agency, the NFL Draft will take place, with team OTAs, mini-camps, and preseason to follow. While other leagues may follow similar calendars, none get the attention that the NFL gets.

Rather than hide from competition, the MLB should be taking measures to win competition in an attempt to attract viewers away from the NBA and NFL. Ultimately, that is what will add value to the game of baseball.

My Zimbio Blog Directory Sport Blogs - BlogCatalog Blog Directory
Add us to your technorati favorites Digg!
Bookmark and Share


The Length of the Baseball Season Debate – How Long is YOUR Season?

October 20, 2009

Read Sports Geek’s argument that the length of the baseball season is appropriate, and Loyal Homer’s argument that 162 games is too many.



The NFL regular season is 16 games in length. For the NBA and the NHL, each team will play 82 games. Even the MLS season stops after 30 games. Will someone please explain to me, then, why Major League Baseball feels the need to play 162 games in a single season?! I am not saying I disagree with the length of the baseball season, but I do want to understand it.

Teams in Major League Baseball play ten times as many games as the NFL, and twice as many as in hockey or basketball. They will literally play the length of an entire NBA season, then take three days off for their All-Star “Break” only to start the entire process all over again.

In some instances, such as when you consider the American League Central Division of 2009, a schedule of that length makes perfect sense. At the close of the season’s first half, the Detroit Tigers led the division by 3.5 games over the Chicago White Sox. The Minnesota Twins were actually in third place in the division, trailing Detroit by four full games. After the second half of the season, however, things looked a little different. The White Sox had fallen completely out of contention, and the Tigers made a historic collapse allowing the Twins to climb from third in the division all the way up to claim the division crown. In fact, 162 games was not even enough to settle the AL Central, as it actually took a 163rd game – and even THAT game went into extra innings – before the champion was crowned!

Had the season ended just ONE game sooner, it would have been the Tigers who faced the New York Yankees in the ALDS instead of the Twins.

On the other hand, was it REALLY necessary to play 162 games in order to prove that the best teams in baseball this year were the Los Angeles Dodgers, New York Yankees, Los Angeles Angels, Philadelphia Phillies, St. Louis Cardinals, and Boston Red Sox? Were 162 games required to show that the Washington Nationals and the Baltimore Orioles were the worst teams in baseball, or that the Cleveland Indians had NO shot of competing for the postseason?

Of the 30 teams in the Major League, 16 trailed their division leader by AT LEAST ten games (that is more than half of the league) at the close of the season. Twelve of those teams trailed by more than 16 games (the full length of the NFL season), ten of whom actually trailed by at least 20 games (that is a full one-third of the league)!

The purpose of MLB’s regular season is to determine which teams should go on to the playoffs. For some teams, that determination is made a long time before game 162 is played. For others, though, every inning of every game counts, with each being a potential difference-maker in deciding playoff fate.

Fortunately, we have the expertise of the writers at TSD to call upon these tough times. Maybe they can help shed some light on the situation…

Is a 162-game season appropriate for Major League Baseball, or is the season too long?

Sports Geek will argue that the season is the appropriate length and Loyal Homer will take the position that the season is too long.

I just hope it does not take 162 debates to determine a winner!

My Zimbio Blog Directory Sport Blogs - BlogCatalog Blog Directory
Add us to your technorati favorites Digg! Bookmark and Share


The Baseball Season Length Debate – Baseball Is History, and Baseball Needs a Long Season

October 20, 2009

Read the debate intro and Loyal Homer’s argument for why the MLB regular season should be shorter.



The number 162 is a big number. It is easy to say that 162 games in a single season is way too long for any major sport’s season. That number… it just SEEMS too big. Factor in some off days, rain outs, tie breaking extra games – and do not forget the playoffs – and their sure is a lot of baseball during the year!

But, unsurprisingly, there are some basic rules governing the construction of a baseball season. Baseball’s professional league cannot have a regular season last more than 183 days… or be fewer than 178 days. As baseball’s season length expanded – from 154 games a season to 162 in 1961 in the American League, and from 154 games a season to 162 in 1962 in the National League – the number of double headers shrunk. Because of those simultaneous changes, the number of days needed to play those games also increased more than expected. Hooray for more baseball!

The sports fans/critics that want a shorter baseball season must a) have plans during the summer, b) not appreciate history, and c) be infatuated with football training camp. What else is there to do during the summer? Baseball has been a national cultural phenomenon since the late 19th Century. Part of the attraction is a lack of distractions and competition in the sports world – especially as media coverage has expanded. Baseball has summer to itself. And, when it shares the sports spotlight, it is well worth watching. In the Spring the excitement of a new season and the possibility of success are compelling while in the Fall the lure of the playoffs grabs fan attention. The length of the season capitalizes on each of those audience segments.

History is another primary factor baseball’s season cannot be shortened. The ability to compare one player’s season from 2009 to a player’s season from 1909 separates baseball from every other sport. Now, it is fair to question the ability to compare seasons statistically since 154 games were on the schedule from 1904 to 1961. The eight extra games modern day players have to compile statistics is not fair to the historical players, right? It is a fair question. But, consider the size of ballparks historical players competed in during their respective eras. Many massive ballparks in the early 1900s did not have a home run fence. That means hitting a home run required, you know, RUNNING. It was a different era, but the basics of the game were the same, and the statistics largely stack up nicely, era over era.

The statistics from the historical era are still good for gauging modern performance for a number of reasons. The most important reason is the evolution of a player’s playing time. In the historical era a position player would often start all 154 regular season games. In the modern era a position player will start between 153 and 157 games per season. That is comparable, and a main contributing factor to why baseball players from separate eras are compared to one another, and a reason why the Major League Baseball Hall of Fame has more integrity than any of its contemporaries.

Aside from all of these emotive and historical elements to baseball, there are plenty of business reasons to sustain a lengthy 162 game season. Using a simple business model of $25 per seat in a 40,000 seat stadium, a team can count on roughly $1,000,000.00 per home game in revenue (provided all tickets are sold). That is a million bucks for every home game. Even a simple expansion of eight extra games a season – four home games – adds four million dollars in revenue. Baseball franchises use this type of model to forecast gate receipts and other aspects to the business of baseball… you know, the stuff like player salaries, coaching searches, player insurance, etc. As salaries, talent searches, and insurance costs have increased – to name just a few of the escalating costs baseball organizations face – that “extra” four million dollars is now an essential and reliant part of the business plan. And, obviously the $25 ticket price is conservative, but the conservatism proves the point. The yearlong ability to sell tickets makes a substantial difference in the business success of a modern baseball franchise.

Also, baseball is a game of failure. Because of that fact, it takes a long time to build up baseball statistics that achieve statistical significance. Success is defined by failure seven out of every ten attempts (you know, a .300 batting average). It takes a lot of at bats to determine if a player is consistently good or just hot for a time. Plus, starting pitchers only get to pitch once every five games. A closer gets an average of 25 chances over the course of the season. A long season is necessary to get the kind of measurable results organizations need to make personnel decisions and understand how much talent it has.

Just because baseball is a long season where patience and stamina are crucial does not mean the season should be shorter. It is designed that way for a reason. It is more exciting to have a close finish at the end of a long race. All of the buildup makes for a better payoff.

For baseball to remain a sustainable business in tough economic times, the season must remain as long as it currently is. And, business aside, for baseball to continue to its historical and cultural relevance the season must remain as long as it currently is.

The real problem facing baseball organizations is how to acquire new fans. Retaining fans is an easier marketing problem to solve, especially when considering the myriad new mediums fans can consume baseball’s content through. New fan acquisition must be a preeminent focus for baseball, and the sports and its franchises need the sustainable revenue from a long season to continue the sport’s growth.

My Zimbio Blog Directory Sport Blogs - BlogCatalog Blog Directory
Add us to your technorati favorites Digg!
Bookmark and Share


The Baseball Season Length Debate – It Goes On and On and On…

October 20, 2009

Read the debate intro and Sports Geek’s argument that the baseball season is not too long.



As I was watching two dramatic playoff games yesterday, I was reminded once again how much I love baseball. What baseball fan would not love watching the Los Angeles Angels win and the Philadelphia Phillies win with walk off hits? Well… if you are a New York Yankees fan or a Los Angeles Dodgers fan, I guess you have not enjoyed them at all! Anyway, yesterday was postseason baseball at its best. I was talking to a casual baseball fan at work one day last week and we were having a “water-cooler” talk about the playoffs. He said, “You know, I like baseball, but that regular season is just so long!” Now, as I stated, I love baseball, but after looking at the length of baseball’s season from all angles I have to agree, the season really is too long!

Bleacher Fan stated in the intro that many of the teams this year had essentially clinched playoffs berths early, and that realistically many teams had been eliminated from playoff contention early. Those are valid reasons for trimming baseball’s season to a degree. But, that is not my focus.

I am focusing on the fact that the longer the season drags on, the more opportunities there are for other sporting events to distract the viewer and/or fan from baseball.

For example, this past Sunday night, a regular season NFL game between the Chicago Bears and the Atlanta Falcons – in Week six, I might add – received a higher television rating than Game four of the National League Championship Series between two big market teams. A closer look at the numbers shows that the NFL game amazingly drew higher in Los Angeles, despite the fact that the Dodgers were in the game and that the Bears and Falcons have no specific ties to the Los Angeles area. Have people in LA, not to mention the entire country, lost interest in baseball in mid-October? If the regular season had not dragged on for so long, perhaps there would be fewer of these postseason matchups going up against regular season football for several weeks.

It has been documented that if the World Series goes the full seven games, then Game seven would not take place until November 5th. It should also be noted that eight weeks of the NFL season (almost half) would already be in the books. This is a full seven months after the MLB regular season began on Sunday, April 5th in Philadelphia. Seven entire months of meaningful baseball! This does not even count spring training! The regular season alone ended on October 4th (October 6th if you count Game 163 between the Tigers and Twins). That is six months of regular season play. That sure seems a little long and drawn out to you, especially when compared to other leagues.

It should also be noted that the NBA starts its regular season a week from today on October 27th. This means that the World Series, the NHL regular season, the start of the NBA regular season, and the NFL regular season will be going on at the same time. Obviously, there is split attention for all three of those. And, unless your team is in the World Series, I am not convinced the general sports fan is going to be focused on the World Series.

If the regular season was trimmed, there would be no interference from the NBA and significantly less interference from the NFL. There would be more eyeballs on Major League Baseball, and I guarantee you that is what Bud Selig wants. The game of baseball needs it!

My Zimbio Blog Directory Sport Blogs - BlogCatalog Blog Directory
Add us to your technorati favorites Digg! Bookmark and Share


Follow

Get every new post delivered to your Inbox.