The 2010 Worst Contract in Baseball Debate… Hendry SHOULD Have Said SoriaNO

April 12, 2010

Read the opposing arguments from Babe Ruthless and Loyal Homer.

With all due respect to my colleagues (and they are due respect), they are freakin’ off their rockers if they think they found a worse contract in professional baseball than the one with Alfonso Soriano’s scrawl on it.

Soriano is in year four of an eight year contract that will pay him $136M. He will receive ONLY $136M because, though his contract does have performance incentives in them, he will never reach them. That guaranteed $136M is his BASE salary for eight pointless years on Chicago’s North Side. Included in this joke of a contract was an $8M signing bonus and a full no-trade clause (which just seems ironic at this point). Those performance incentives are for being the top vote getting in the All-Star voting (how many times can Mrs. Soriano vote before getting carpal tunnel, I wonder), for being the World Series MVP, LCS MVP, MLB MVP, or winning a gold glove. Ha. Ha. How ambitious was Soriano’s agent, Diego Bentz, or how drunk was Cubs general manager Jim Hendry, to even consider such outlandish performance incentives. Given Soriano’s track record and career contributions, how were those achievements considered realistic?

Speaking of Diego Bentz, did you know that he gets paid $850,000 for each year of Soriano’s contract? For those of you quick at math, that is $6.8M. Kudos, Diego – but I think you should be in jail for fraud.

Before taking a deeper dive into the finer points of Soriano’s embarrassing contract, here is some context. Soriano’s contract is currently the ninth largest in Major League Baseball. You are probably asking, “But Sports Geek, surely there are worse players than Soriano in the top eight players.” If you are saying that, then you would be mistaken. Here is a list of the eight players in front of Soriano:

  1. Alex Rodriguez: $275M
  2. Derek Jeter: $252M
  3. Joe Mauer: $189M
  4. Mark Teixiera: $180
  5. C.C. Sabathia: $161M
  6. Miguel Cabrera: $152.3M
  7. Todd Helton: $151.5M
  8. Johan Santana: $137.5M
  9. Alfonso Soriano: $136M

Baseball contracts – like any contract in any business – are all about value. Value is determined primarily by calculating the return on a given investment.

Rodriguez, Jeter, Teixiera, and Sabathia have all delivered championships for their team, therefore the return on investment is solid. While Mauer, Cabrera, Helton, and Santana have not yet won championships they still share a common trait of not sucking. Joe Mauer is one of the top catchers in the majors and fresh off an MVP season where he hit a stellar .365 to win the batting title. Even in a down year where Cabrera was accused of being overweight and under-motivated he hit .292, belted 37 homers, and notched an AL leading 331 total bases. Todd Helton had one bad season where he hit .264, but he also suffered from injuries all season. For his career he is a .328 batter. Santana has only posted three full seasons with an ERA over three in his entire career. And even when his ERA was over three, 3.33 was where it topped out… which was in 2007 when he was still fifth in Cy Young voting.

And then we arrive at Soriano. Impressively, Soriano has struck out 1,189 times in his career. Amazing, especially when you consider that he has earned lucked into a walk just 338 times. That is a good indication that Soriano is a junk ball hitter and total free swinger. He makes it seem as though Jacques Jones has the patience of Ted Williams. Soriano is a one pitch hitter, like Jobu from Major League.

Soriano’s batting average has dropped each season with the Cubs, as has his on base percentage and slugging percentage. The inverse relationships between his yearly salary and on-field production is suspect.

Do you remember those incentives for postseason performance? Here’s why they’re a crock. Soriano is a lifetime .213 hitter in the postseason, including .143 and .071 for two postseason campaigns with the Cubs. In 44 career postseason games he has walked (SOMEhow) nine times… compared to 53 whiffs. At least the Cubs will get a bargain on postseason payouts.

You may be thinking that, though Soriano’s stats certainly are not very good, surely he must realize that fact and announce he is going to redouble his efforts and improve his game, right? Wrong.

“I still have the talent,” he was quoted as saying in a Washington Post article a few weeks ago. “The only thing for me is to stay healthy, so I can help the team win. If I stay healthy, I will put up the numbers.”

Anyone interested in a big glass of denial?

This is partly an article about Soriano, and partly an article devoted to the long-forgotten promise of one James Hendry, the general manager for the Chicago Cubs.

We have all had those “moments” in our professional work lives where everything just gets overwhelming. The normal human response is to request some time off, clear the cobwebs, and comeback refreshed and ready to maintain your creativity. In fact, studies show that the most creative people are the ones who do a good job balancing work and their personal lives. When Jim Henry completed the deal to sign free agent pitching Ted Lilly in 2006 he was hooked up to an EKG machine. That, Jim, was a clear sign that it was time to take a few days and regroup. What many in the press applauded as a Herculean effort was in truth the death of creativity for a once promising general manager.

Had Hendry not been exhausted or overwhelmed or been given too many resources or whatever the excuse du jour is, he probably would have noticed some alarming statistics that should have prevented the signing. For example, as baseball heads deeper into the sabermetrics era, Hendry completely missed that signing a leadoff hitter who gets on base once every three at bats is just not good enough. A total of 406 strikeouts in the three years preceding the signing are not good for a leadoff hitter and are a rally killer at any point in the game. Bottom line, with a stat line like Soriano’s it should have been evident that he – like his contract – would be an albatross on consistent production. Hendry’s unwillingness to acknowledge that Soriano was not built for the long run, and remain enamored with the desire to fill the Cubs lineup with home run hitters, triggered an eight year mistake. As a loyal Cubs fan, I would take a three year Milton Bradley mistake over an eight year Soriano mistake every time.

From now until 2014 Alfonso Soriano will earn $18M every season. That is pretty good for a player who always avoided or lost in arbitration. That is pretty good for a player that started his career in Japan where he hit .118 before signing with the Yankees as a minor leaguer. The Cubs are stuck with Soriano because they had newly minted resources flowing through their pockets during a Winter where Soriano was the best alternative. Despite statistics, logic, and “gut feel,” the Cubs signed Soriano to what is now, without a doubt, the worst contract in professional baseball.

My Zimbio Blog Directory Sport Blogs - BlogCatalog Blog Directory
Add us to your technorati favorites Digg!
Bookmark and Share


The 2010 Worst Contract in Baseball Debate… Barry Zito Signing, A Giant Mistake

April 12, 2010

Read the opposing arguments from Sports Geek and Loyal Homer.

Not to overstate this, but the San Francisco Giants’ decision to sign Barry Zito is one of the worst decisions in the history of mankind. Seriously, it was an epically disastrous decision. We are talking hiring O.J. Simpson as your marriage counselor bad. But Zito swindled the Giants for so much money it would make Bernie Madoff jealous, and Zito will continue to make out like a bandit for years to come. Barry Zito clearly has the worst contract in baseball.

Prior to the 2007 season, the San Francisco Giants signed the former Oakland Athletics ace to a whopping seven year contract worth approximately $126M. In the wake of huge spending sprees in baseball recently that may not sound like much, but at the time this was a record breaking deal. It was the most lucrative contract given to a pitcher in baseball history. Today the only pitchers with larger contracts are C.C. Sabathia ($161M) and Johan Santana ($137.5M). Currently Zito ranks 13th out of all players in baseball in terms of value of their overall contract.

Some might think me hypocritical for questioning the Giants decision to drop that type of cash on a player, but my problem is not with money. Rather, my issue is with what the Giants were getting for there money. Zito was probably the best free agent on the market that offseason, but the Giants were still seriously overpaying. In 2006, the year before he signed with San Francisco, Zito pitched for 16 wins and 10 losses with a stat line of 3.83 ERA, 1.40 WHIP, and 151 strikeouts. While that seems respectable enough, eighteen other pitchers had at least 16 wins that seasons, and nine of those pitchers had a better ERA. So, what exactly did the Giants see in him that the rest of us were missing?

Maybe they liked the fact that he had thrown at least 214 innings in every season since his rookie year. Maybe they were enthralled with his 2002 season where he won an astonishing 23 games. Maybe it was his 205 strikeouts in 2001. But whatever potential for greatness Zito’s career numbers seemed to indicate to the Giants, they were not acquiring that pitcher.

What the Giants ended up with was an overpaid, glorified innings eater. In three years playing for San Francisco Zito has only posted losing seasons. He has yet to exceed 11 wins in any one season. He has failed to reach 200 innings in any season for the Giants, and his ERA has ballooned to more over four (4.53 in 2007, 5.15 in 2008, and 4.03 in 2009). It was even rumored that the Giants have considered sending Zito to the minors. Who could blame them? He is no longer a feared pitching ace, as much as a pitiful creature. To put it bluntly, Zito is a bum. I know it sounds harsh but sometimes the truth hurts.

Now, here’s the rub. It is not Barry Zito’s fault. All Zito did was accept an offer which will allow him to provide for his family for generations to come. He did not force anyone to give him that much money and a full no trade clause. So who is to blame, you ask? Brian Sabean. The blame falls squarely on the shoulders of the general manager who signed Zito. It was Sabean’s responsibility to ensure that Zito would produce, which he has not. It was Sabean’s responsibility to build an escape clause for the Giants should things head South, which he did not. Because of Sabean, Barry Zito has the worst contract in baseball.

My competition for today’s debate, Sports Geek and Loyal Homer, are going to argue that Alfonso Soriano and Vernon Wells have worse contracts. I will admit that both players also have bad contracts (Soriano eight years $136M and Wells seven years $126M), but Zito’s deal is far worse. Soriano and Wells are position players and their contracts are paying them to play in 162 games each season. Zito, a pitcher, is being paid to go out and perform once about every five days. That means the Giants are paying $126 for around 30 starts each season. When those 30 starts yield just ten or 11 wins that is a recipe for the biggest contract bust in baseball. The Cubs and Blue Jays are getting more bang for their buck than the Giants.

Barry Zito was brought to the City by the Bay to be a franchise player, the face of the organization. As it turns out he became a face the organization would probably want to put a paper bag over. Zito has the worst contract in baseball and it looks like the Giants are going to have ride this disaster out.

My Zimbio Blog Directory Sport Blogs - BlogCatalog Blog Directory
Add us to your technorati favorites Digg!
Bookmark and Share


The 2010 Worst Contract in Baseball Debate… Toronto, What Were You Thinking?

April 12, 2010

Read the opposing arguments from Sports Geek and Babe Ruthless.

There are many head-scratching contracts that have been offered by general managers to baseball players in recent years. The Sports Debates highlights three of them in our arguments today. I also have yet to figure out why “Moneyball” expert Billy Beane decided to throw money away and give Ben Sheets a one year deal with Oakland for $10M. That negates Beane being an expert at anything anymore. But, if there is one current contract out there currently that strikes me as totally ridiculous – the contract that Blue Jays outfielder Vernon Wells has stuck in his back pocket.

Back in late December of 2006, Wells and his family received the Christmas present of a lifetime when he signed a seven year deal worth $126M. This is the gift that keeps on giving for Wells personally, though it has not done much for anyone else. It has helped give then Blue Jay general manager J.P. Ricciardi a pink slip. And it has helped lead the Blue Jays to no more than 86 wins in the three years since the contract was signed. All he has done over the first three years of the deal is hit a combined 55 home runs. Let’s delve more deeply into this deal.

This contract has to be one of the most backloaded contracts in the history of sports. It is true that he received a $25M signing bonus, but the first three years he played with minimal financial damage being dished out to the Blue Jays. And even this season, at $12.5M, is okay. But 2011 is when the fun really begins. Warning to Blue Jays fans: This could hurt!

In 2011, Wells’ salary inflates to $23M. What? Are you kidding me? And then for some reason, Wells will have to take a pay cut and make only $21M per season for the 2012-2014 seasons. Poor thing!!! Here is my favorite part of the contract, though. Wells has the right to opt out of his contract after the fourth year, which would be after next season. Hahahaha! Come on! Are you serious? Sorry Blue Jay fans, but he is not doing that. You are stuck with him until after the 2014 season because he also has a full no-trade clause.

And it is not like the guy is Albert Pujols, either. Last season, he hit 15 home runs with a batting average of .260. That is just not going to get it done. Yeah, he is off to a great start this season, hitting .350 with four home runs so far. But that is just over five games. Let’s see him do it over the course of a full season.

I bet Wells sleeps great at night. But I bet his agent, Brian Peters, sleeps even better knowing he pulled the steal of the 21st Century.

My Zimbio Blog Directory Sport Blogs - BlogCatalog Blog Directory
Add us to your technorati favorites Digg! Bookmark and Share


Follow

Get every new post delivered to your Inbox.