The 2010 Spring Training Best Rotation Debate – Giant Season in Store for San Francisco

February 26, 2010

Read the opposing arguments from Loyal Homer and Babe Ruthless.

If pitching rotations were two players deep, this debate would start and stop with the Seattle Mariners. The addition of Cy Young award winner Cliff Lee and the ability to resign an already proven Felix Hernandez makes the Mariners tough in any short series.

The problem with the Mariners rotation is that it drops off so severely after those two guys up front. And while the media (and Babe Ruthless) will donate a lot of time to trumpeting the greatness of the Yankees and the Red Sox, the best rotation in baseball right now as Spring Training is about to start is a sleeping Giant in the City by the Bay.

Most rotations in the major leagues have at least two solid starters. Good rotations require depth and two solid top rotation starters. The Giants have both, and are very dangerous as a result.

The Giants rotation as of right now is:

  1. Tim Lincecum
  2. Matt Cain
  3. Barry Zito
  4. Jonathan Sanchez
  5. Madison Bumgarner

We all know how great Tim Lincecum is. He is a two-time Cy Young award winner, and an ERA of three or over seems like a bad season to him. After a 2.62 ERA in 2008 (where he won a Cy Young award) he lowered it to 2.48 last season in his second award winning campaign. He also added four complete games, further proving his elite pitching status. But, I do not need to devote many pixels to proving Lincecum is an elite pitcher. We all know that.

Part of the reason I believe the Giants’ pitching staff is poised to breakout out is because of the development shown by young Matt Cain. Cain has gotten progressively better in each major league campaign, culminating in an outstanding 2009 season where he finished with a sub-three ERA (2.89, to be exact), and allowed just 70 earned runs throughout his 33 starts and 217-plus innings. Cain is not a strikeout pitcher, which makes him even more impressive. Lincecum will blow the ball right by hitters. Cain will induce ground balls and be efficient with pitches, adding another four complete games last season.

Now we start to uncover the depth of the Giants pitching staff. Barry Zito was supposed to be an anchor pitcher for the staff when the Giants shelled out record cash for him two long seasons ago. Zito, too, is a former Cy Young award winner. But, injuries forced changes in his mechanics. He has not thrown 200 innings since 2006. So, why is he such an important part of this pitching staff? Because something happened late last season with Barry Zito. Whatever mechanical inconsistencies he was suffered suddenly became resolved. Zito posted a 1.93 ERA in August, and finished the second half of the season with 2.83 ERA. Now the Giants rotation is not just top heavy… now a former Cy Young winner returning to form is good enough to fill the three spot in the rotation. Scary.

Young Jonathan Sanchez, the fourth starter in the Giants rotation, does not seem to be that important when skimming the stats. He did record a career best 4.24 ERA last season, but he grew in other ways, too. First, he threw a no-hitter. As good as Lincecum is, he does not have a no-hitter. After beginning the 2009 season with a 4.69 ERA, Sanchez posted a 3.83 after the break. That is excellent for a fourth starter. More, he had a 2.61 ERA in August. Sanchez has shown tremendous growth and the capacity to be a steady contributor in the rotation.

The fifth spot in the rotation is generally interchangeable. That is the case in San Francisco, at least for now. But, a young prospect named Madison Bumgarner is showing some promise. He only made one start last season, so the 1.80 ERA is not really a stat worth anything at this point. But, Bumgarner struck out 10 in that game. While some are concerned about a sudden drop in velocity from Bumgarner at the end of last season, throwing a fastball between 88-90 miles per hour did not seem to have any negative impact on his performance. In fact, the Giants coaching staff is not alarmed at all, and Bumgarner will have the opportunity to round out an already impressive pitching staff for the Giants as they enter 2010.

Certainly it is hard to predict how well the Giants will do this season. Who knows how good the bullpen will be, the defense behind this complete pitching staff, or the team’s hitting. One thing is for sure, the team that welcomed the major’s best staff to Spring Training last week was the San Francisco Giants.

My Zimbio Blog Directory Sport Blogs - BlogCatalog Blog Directory
Add us to your technorati favorites Digg!
Bookmark and Share


The 2010 Spring Training Best Rotation Debate – The Yanks are Armed and Dangerous

February 26, 2010

Read the opposing arguments from Sports Geek and Loyal Homer.

The New York Yankees are preparing to do something they have not done since the turn of the millennium – defend a World Series Championship. This year the Bronx Bombers enter spring training with a rotation that not only brought them an MLB leading 103 wins last season but also their elusive 27th World Series title. With a 28th championship in mind, the Yankees set sights on being the first team to win back to back World Series championships since, well, the Yankees. The Yankees were successful last year in large part because they returned to the strategy that made them the most dominant team of the late 1990s – power pitching. Today’s debate is about which team enters Spring Training with the best rotation, and the front runners are the defending champion New York Yankees.

Probably the best reason to like the Yanks’ chances of repeating, or even three-peating, is the fact that their top three spots in the rotation are comprised of the same solid core that helped them to win the championship in 2009. The top three guys – C.C. Sabathia, A.J. Burnett, and Andy Pettitte – are returning to anchor the rotation this season. The best part is they do not really bring any major baggage, either. Instead, the Yankees are able to add to a winning design rather than attempt to overhaul the system.

Last season questions existed about Sabathia’s ability to perform in the Big Apple. Similarly, many critics wondered if the former Toronto Blue Jays starter A.J. Burnett could fly solo without his mentor Roy Halladay. And still many others questioned if an aging Pettitte could stay healthy or stay out of the media (in the wake of the performance enhancing drugs scandal of last summer) long enough to be an asset to the Yankees. These questions are not questions anymore, especially after these three aces pitched for a collective 46 win and 540 strikeouts. What makes their stats even more impressive is that they accomplished this in the hitter friendly launching pad that is the new Yankee Stadium. All three guys showed up in a big way last season, and they are primed to repeat if not exceed their performance this season.

But the Yankees did not sit on their laurels in the offseason. Instead they were able to improve upon their already dominant pitching with the re-addition of Javier Vazquez. Vazquez, who was 15-10 for the Atlanta Braves last season with a sub-three ERA, returns to the Yanks after a six year absence. He was traded away in January of 2005 as part of the Randy Johnson acquisition after his emphatic collapse against the Red Sox during the 2004 ALCS. Since that time he has matured into an even better, more dependable pitcher. Last season he finished fourth in the NL Cy Young voting. To have a guy who almost won the Cy Young award as your fourth starter says a lot about the talent the Yankees rotation will field in 2010.

The fifth spot in the rotation is really the only one up for grabs at the moment, and even that proves to be a blessing rather than a curse. Pitching Coach Jeff Eiland has stated that he is excited about the competition heating up for the final starter vacancy. Joba Chamberlain and Phil Hughes appear to be the front runners for the starting gig. Both hurlers have experienced some degree of success as a starter, and maybe more importantly these guys have big game and playoff experience – which is something a lot of clubs cannot say about their ffifth starter. But Chamberlain and Hughes are not the only options. Alfredo Aceves, Chad Gaudin, and Sergio Mitre are all in the mix. Depending on how things go in the Grapefruit League, anyone of these guys could toe the rubber in the Bronx regularly next season.

This brings me to another point: The 2010 Yankees have something that many other teams cannot claim – depth. If guys need a rest or a stint on the DL, the Yankees will not have to settle for treading water until their stud returns. With the depth the Yankees have they can keep chasing the pennant, a feat in itself in the ultra-competitive American League East. The Yanks can simply call on one of their talented pitchers and give their other star the break they need. The Yankees’ stable is full of talent that is hungry for an opportunity to shine. Guys like Alfredo Aceves display a ton of immediate potential and are just waiting for their big break. Last season Aceves went 10-1 through 84 innings. To put that into perspective, Phil Hughes had a record of 8-3 through two more innings. This pitching staff is deep and talented, and the competition brings out the best in everyone.

Other teams may offer one or two dominant pitchers that might have better stuff (the Phillies’ addition of Roy Halladay and San Francisco’s stud Tim Lincecum come to mind), but they do not have the same quality running top to bottom throughout the rotation. As we saw in the 2009 World Series having one unstoppable pitcher – Cliff Lee – will only take a team so far. Even with the three man rotation used in the playoffs, teams still need a strong and balanced rotation. The only team that really rivals the Yankees’ rotation in terms of overall talent is – if dare write it – is the Boston Red Sox. But, despite the addition of John Lackey, the Red Sox still have a shaky back end of the rotation. The 2009 version of Dice-K was nowhere near the form the Red Sox were used to seeing in 2008 (4-6 with a 5.76 ERA in 2009). Tim Wakefield’s success over the past four years has been as shaky as his knuckleball. Similarly, Clay Buchholz, with his career 4.91 ERA and 12-14 record, has not proven himself to be the pitcher the Red Sox can depend on to shore up an unstable rotation. So, even that good staff does not compare with the Yankees 2010 rotation headed into Spring Training.

In the end we may see that the Yankees rotation does not live up to the expectations I have set for them. But that is not what this debate is about. This debate is about which team has the best rotation as we move toward the start of the regular season, and that certainly looks like the New York Yankees.

My Zimbio Blog Directory Sport Blogs - BlogCatalog Blog Directory
Add us to your technorati favorites Digg!
Bookmark and Share


The 2010 Spring Training Best Rotation Debate – Braves Have A Chance Every Night

February 26, 2010

Read the opposing arguments from Sports Geek and Babe Ruthless.

As Spring draws closer we can anticipate warmer weather, conversations about Spring break, and the beginning of baseball season. All of the teams are now in the beginning stages of Spring training. I am definitely excited, and what is even more exciting for me is that the Atlanta Braves have gotten back to the formula that served them so well during their run of 14 consecutive division championships. They have put together a strong pitching staff from top to bottom, but it is their starting rotation that is going to win them a lot of games.

I believe the Braves are one of the few teams that can say that they have four guys who have a solid case to be the opening day starter. While it is hard to determine if they have a bonafide ace at this point, it is quite easy to say they have multiple players with the potential to be that ace by the end of the season.

Jair Jurrjens is one of the guys that I think may end up being the ace of the staff. He had a fine season in 2009, winning 14 games with an ERA of 2.61. If he had any type of run support he would have won close to 20 games and merited some Cy Young consideration. The one thing that concerns me about Jurrjens is the fact that he experienced some shoulder stiffness over the Winter. He had an MRI last week that revealed no structural damage. But as a fan, when I hear something like that, the first names that enter my mind are Tommy John and Dr. James Andrews. Keep in mind he did throw 215 innings last season.

Another young future ace the Braves have is Tommy Hanson. Braves fans have been hearing about Hanson for some time. He did not disappoint once he was called up to the big leagues shortly before midseason. He posted an 11-4 record with an ERA under three. The young fireballer has quickly become a favorite in Atlanta and his future is tremendously bright.

Two grizzled veterans make up the next two starting spots with Tim Hudson and Derek Lowe. Huddy, as he is referred to by teammates, is over a year removed from the aforementioned Tommy John surgery. But he showed the Braves enough in his return at the end of last season to reward him with a three-year contract. Hudson is the real wild card of this rotation, and this team. If he recaptures the form of his pre-surgery days, this team will make a strong run at the postseason.

Derek Lowe is coming off a down year, and those struggles led to his name being mentioned quite often in trade rumors during the offseason. But, despite the overall frustration by fans, he still managed to win 15 games.

Holding down the fifth slot in the rotation is Kenshin Kawakami. He was an extreme point of frustration for Loyal Homer at times last season, but as the season progressed he showed improvement. I believe part of the reason for his on-field improvement was the fact that he began to adjust to life in the USA after coming over from Japan. He ended up with an ERA under four. If he duplicates that as a fifth starter, the Braves will be more than pleased. What is sure to provide a big help to Kawakami is the addition of fellow countrymen Takashi Saito. With someone else to lean on, it will only add to Kawakami’s confidence.

Those five guys all have varying degrees of potential. If they stay healthy, I believe they have the best FIVE man rotation in the league.

My Zimbio Blog Directory Sport Blogs - BlogCatalog Blog Directory
Add us to your technorati favorites Digg! Bookmark and Share


Follow

Get every new post delivered to your Inbox.