The Next NCAAF Head Coach Debate… Hook Him While You Can

September 1, 2010

Read the opposing arguments from Sports Geek and Loyal Homer.

There is no doubt that Will Muschamp will become a successful head coach in the college football ranks. The real questions are “When?” and “For whom?”

His resume speaks for itself, as success follows him wherever he goes.

Over the last decade Muschamp has been defensive coordinator for some of the most dominant defenses in the nation. He signed on at LSU under Nick Saban in 2001, and in 2003 his top-ranked defense led the Tigers to a national championship.

Two years later, after a short stint in the NFL where he followed Nick Saban to the Miami Dolphins, Muschamp returned to college football as the defensive coordinator for the Auburn Tigers. In two seasons with Tommy Tuberville, Muschamp quickly proved that his success at LSU was no accident. In 2006 and 2007 his defenses were ranked seventh and sixth in the nation, respectively, in points per game, and in 2007 his defense ranked sixth in the nation in yards per game.

Then, early in 2008, Muschamp was brought into the Texas Longhorns football program as their defensive coordinator. Since then he has not skipped a beat, as his defenses continue to be ranked among the best in the country.

And while his sustained success with three different major programs speak volumes about his coaching ability, it is his reputation as one of the nation’s top recruiters that really sets him apart from his peers.

In recognition for his proven success, as well has his high potential for the future, Texas saw fit to name Muschamp the “Head Coach in Waiting.”

There is only one problem – Texas’ current head coach Mack Brown does not appear ready to leave his post anytime soon, which places a heavy emphasis on the word “waiting.” That fact was magnified earlier this year when DeLoss Dodds, the Athletic Director for the Longhorns, signed a contract extension with the school.

The understood progression of events was that Dodds would soon be retiring, and Brown would assume the role of AD, creating the vacancy at the position of head coach that Muschamp would then slip into. With those events now delayed, it could seriously change the way Muschamp thinks about his current situation.

For all the expectation and promise that Will Muschamp has to look forward to, there is no timetable to set a realistic expectation for when he will actually receive his opportunity, and THAT is where the rest of the programs around the country have an opportunity to pounce.

As exciting as it may be to know that with a little patience the keys to arguably the top football program in the country will be handed over, there can also be frustration from the uncertainty of not knowing when that day will come. Especially for a guy like Muschamp who really is ready to run his own program. Today.

Tennessee has already made a play to woo Muschamp out of Austin, but his response at the time was that he was happy waiting it out with the Longhorns. That was before Dodds signed his extension, though, and with the laundry list of high profile programs whose coaches sit precariously on a very hot seat this season, the atmosphere in Austin could be very different when December rolls around.

There will be no shortage of suitors for Muschamp as the 2010 college football season plays out. Now it is just a matter of seeing how much he can resist before finally succumbing to the temptation that will be out there.

One thing is for sure. Will Muschamp absolutely deserves to be a head coach somewhere in the NCAA by this time next season.

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The Next NCAAF Head Coach Debate… Kirby’s a Smart Hire

September 1, 2010

Read the opposing arguments from Bleacher Fan and Sports Geek.

Every season there are a group of assistants many believe are ready to take the next step up into a head coaching position. This year’s crop of qualified coaches who have earned the big corner office features former assistants like Jimbo Fisher (FSU) and Joker Phillips (Kentucky). Today we’re looking at guys who Sports Geek, Bleacher Fan, and I feel are ready to take the next step. All three are proven assistant coaches in BCS conferences. Yet, of course, my guy is the best. Enter Kirby Smart.

Smart is a good ole South Georgia boy, playing high school football less than 100 miles from my hometown before taking his talents between the hedges in Athens at the University of Georgia. Before hitting the big time in the coaching ranks, he was an assistant coach at a small school in Georgia called Valdosta State University, which just so happens to be the alma mater of both Sports Geek and myself. The Geek even met him a time or two, but I never met him. (Editor’s Note: I’ll share a funny story about him here in an argument one day. Stay tuned.) Stops along the way in his coaching career included Florida State, LSU, Georgia, and even the Miami Dolphins, bringing him to his current role as a defensive coordinator at Alabama. He’s Nick Saban’s boy, having worked for him in Baton Rouge, Miami, and now in Tuscaloosa.

Kirby has a lot going for him. He’s young (34 years old), energetic, and is a proven hot commodity as an assistant coach. He is a 2009 recipient of the Frank Broyles Award, which is given to the nation’s top assistant coach. He even contemplated returning to his alma mater to coach under Mark Richt, but he decided to remain loyal to Saban and the Crimson Tide. He got a nice raise, too.

There was really no need to leave Alabama for Georgia. He is the defensive coordinator for the defending national champions, and judging from the pre-season polls and the post-season predictions, the Tide are a favorite to repeat again. A big reason why is Smart’s defense. The Tide defense was second nationally in scoring last season, but nine starters either graduated or moved on to the NFL. However, the depth that Smart helped established should soften that blow. Many of the players that are replacing those starters earned valuable playing time a season ago.

Kirby Smart has “future head coach” written all over him (Editor’s Note: How do you know?). He certainly learned from one of the best, and despite being so young he has some impressive credentials on his resume. It’s highly doubtful Smart would leave Tuscaloosa for another coordinator position. After all, if he won’t leave for his alma mater, where else would he go for the same job? However, he would likely consider leaving for a head coaching job in the right situation. A school would be wise to give this guy a look next winter, quite possibly as Smart is celebrating another national championship.

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The Next NCAAF Head Coach Debate… Tyrone Nix, Your Head Coaching Job Awaits You

September 1, 2010

Read the opposing arguments from Bleacher Fan and Loyal Homer.

There are 119 division I-A college football programs. In the aftermath of the 2008 season, just four African-American coaches stalked the sidelines on Saturdays. Imagine what the college football head coaching landscape would look like if Art Rooney, one the NFL’s great owners and champions of equality, were to have influence over how the coaches are hired.

“The Rooney Rule.” We all know what it is. It has its own Wikipedia page. Some laud it, some believe it’s past its prime. Virtually no one pretends it was unnecessary. It does not take a rocket scientist to figure out that African-Americans are predominant amongst the athletes in college football, yet for some reason rare amongst the coaches. It just doesn’t add up. Great leadership and great teaching are racially agnostic traits.

Sure, the Rooney Rule is a good thing. Only the best next head college football coach, Tyron Nix, has no need of it. For Nix the Rule would serve only as a perceived excuse for why he would get a head coaching job. You see, he is – bar none – the BEST assistant coach in college football right now.

Tyrone Nix’s playing career ended with a captaincy of the Southern Miss defense as a senior. He graduated, but did not pursue a future in the NFL. He did not, ultimately, believe it was his calling. Instead, just two short years after graduating, he was named an assistant defensive coach at his alma mater. He served in that role for five years before assuming the role of defensive coordinator for three. He then left the college he knew best and became the defensive coordinator for Steve Spurrier at South Carolina from 2005 to 2007… where he was promptly hired away to Ole Miss for the same role. Sure, Nix is only 37 years old… a young age for a top assistant and potential head coach. But, like race, character and ability are not reserved solely for the aged.

There are certain metrics our sports society uses to gauge a coach’s success. Usually those metrics are specific to money and ambition. Therefore I am obligated to share that Nix’s current contract is for three years, $500,000 per year. That is a hefty sum for a coach who is earning the money. And it should be a hefty sum, considering Florida was hot in pursuit of Nix as a candidate for the head coaching position when Urban Meyer’s health was a major concern. There are few higher compliments for a young coach than a phone call for a marquee program for a possible opening at head coach.

Last season Ole Miss was fourth in team defense in the SEC, the conference universally acclaimed as home to the country’s most concentrated collection of talented collegiate defenders. One good season does not a coach make, however. In 2008 Nix’s defense also ranked fourth… ahead of Auburn, Georgia, LSU and the school he left to coach at Ole Miss – South Carolina.

Nix has proven over the course of his impressive, though still young career that he has the ability to get the most out of his players. He also has the ability to rank a defense with supposedly inferior recruits among the best in the toughest league. If Nix can coach up players at Southern Miss, South Carolina, and Ole Miss to this level of effectiveness, imagine what he could do with a few top five recruiting classes under his belt?

It likely won’t be long before we find out. It seems there is always an opening for a head coach at a major college program each off-season. When the next opening hits the Bottom Line on ESPN, you can bet Nix’s name is in the running. And he won’t need the Rooney Rule to make the phone ring.

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The 2010 Heisman Hopeful Debate… First Noel For Heisman

August 30, 2010

Read the opposing arguments from Sports Geek and Loyal Homer.

Before I launch into my Heisman Trophy hopeful nominee, here’s an indictment of the whole “whittle down the Heisman list in August” movement, despite the fact that we here at TSD are proudly contributing to the problem.

When I was younger I used to think the Heisman Trophy was truly the award for the best player in college football. As I’ve gotten older, the award seems to have morphed into the trophy generally given to the best player who was on national TV a lot, had a highlight reel play, and was mercilessly promoted by ESPN’s studio personnel. Given all that, if I’m going to add to the commentary and noise surrounding a trophy awarded four months from now, I’m going to submit a deserving underdog candidate to all of our loyal readers.

Ladies and gentlemen, let me introduce Noel Devine, senior running back from West Virginia University.

Serious college football fans are aware of Devine’s talent, but he has yet to achieve national notoriety despite his aggressive, highlight-creating running style and speed. Part of this may be intentional on Devine’s part given the distinct lack of publicity surrounding his recruitment. While recruiting analysts waxed poetic about his talents and a wide variety of YouTube videos displayed his jaw-dropping abilities for the denizens, Devine and those around him were generally people of few (or no) words. In my view, this is refreshing given the publicity hounds that seem to populate the high school football recruiting world. Unfortunately, this lack of self-promotion makes it difficult to mount a Heisman campaign. That is why I would like to help him out. I’m sure that the power of this post will be worth dozens of Heisman votes when all is said and done, in the same way that I would handily defeat Mr. Devine in a foot race. Hey, maybe I’ll at least win the poll for this debate!

Now that I’ve given you the personal reasons why I think he should win, let’s get to his statistics. His statistics alone make him deserving of a trip to New York this December. First, Devine had a dazzling 2009 season that largely flew under the radar. He rushed for 1,465 yards on 241 carries, an average of 6.1 yards per carry. He also racked up 13 touchdowns on the ground. Beyond his notable rushing production, Devine took care of the football. He did not lose a fumble during the 2009 season despite those 241 carries. In fact, Devine has not lost a fumble during this three-year career at West Virginia. Noel, I hope I didn’t jinx you for this year by mentioning that statistic!

The good news for Devine is that there are high hopes for the Mountaineers this season. If they achieve the predicted level of success there will be plenty of national opportunities for Devine to make his case to the Heisman voters. Additionally, he is expected to be the featured component of the customarily potent West Virginia offense.

If Devine stays healthy this season I sincerely hope the voters recognize a player who lets his production do his talking rather than his sideline antics or his grace in front of the cameras. If that is the case, no couch may be safe in Morgantown this December.

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The 2010 Heisman Hopeful Debate… Pondering Heisman Prominence

August 30, 2010

Read the opposing arguments from Optimist Prime and Sports Geek.

It must be a little weird down in Tallahassee, Florida right now. For the first time since 1976 the Florida State Seminoles will be taking the field without Bobby Bowden and that “dadgum” straw hat. The show must go on, and while Bowden is out trying to promote a new book, the Seminoles are preparing for the season with a new head coach and something under center that Bowden often had in his tenure… a great quarterback.

Christian Ponder, or CP7 as his teammates refer to him, is an outstanding quarterback and has a chance to make a serious run at the Heisman Trophy. This is a guy who had given serious thought to possibly declaring for the NFL draft before injuring his shoulder late in the season in a loss to Clemson. Before the injury, however, he was putting up some great numbers. He threw for over 2,700 yards and 14 touchdowns despite missing four games due to the shoulder injury. I had the opportunity to watch him play in person against Georgia Tech last season in Tallahassee. Single-handily, he almost won that game for the Seminoles. He passed for 359 yards and five touchdowns. But, unfortunately for FSU, the ‘Noles came up on the short end of that game, losing a thriller 49-44.

The Florida State athletic department thinks enough of Ponder’s Heisman chances that it has created a “CP7 for Heisman” website. And why not? This guy represents what a true college football player is all about. Not only is he successful on the field, but he’s a borderline genius in the classroom. Actually, you can remove “borderline” from the previous statement. He earned his undergraduate degree in finance in two-and-a-half years and he completed his MBA this past Spring… while maintaining a 3.7 GPA. And just for fun, he’s halfway through earning his Masters in sports management. Chances are he won’t need any of these degrees for awhile. Along with Washington’s Jake Locker, he’s considered one of the top quarterbacks for the 2011 NFL draft.

One thing that is out of his control as far as his Heisman candidacy is concerned is the Florida State defense. That was a serious problem last season and prevented the Seminoles from having a more memorable campaign. Giving up an average of 30 points per game won’t get it done, and that’s why new defensive coordinator Mark Stoops has been teaching a new zone-based scheme. If the defense shows ANY type of improvement, the Seminoles will win more games, a fact that obviously will help Ponder’s candidacy.

Last season there were three candidates that stood above the others. We did a debate on it here at The Sports Debates and, as it turns out, we were all wrong (Editor’s Note: That’s why we’re not in the prediction business here. Just the entertaining debate business. Yea… it’s a business.).

In 2010 the Heisman Trophy race is wide open, and Christian Ponder has the talent to eventually win it.

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The 2010 Heisman Hopeful Debate… Dion Lewis Wins on Stats and Character

August 30, 2010

Read the opposing arguments from Optimist Prime and Loyal Homer.

At what point does under the radar become over the radar? The answer is the point in time when college football magazines and season previews are published. The editors and writers are scrambling for the next batch of Heisman hopefuls, and some years those folks have to dig very deep to find solid candidates.

Count 2010 as “one of those years.” Gone are the major college quarterbacks like Tim Tebow, Sam Bradford, and Colt McCoy. Gone are college football’s household names like Ndamukong Suh. The sport needs new names. And fans are ready… for Pittsburgh running back Dion Lewis.

It just makes sense that 2010 is the season of the running back. No great receivers, defensive backs, or quarterbacks are looming over the Heisman debate. Sure, some names are floating around, but they lack legitimate attention. Jake Locker, Ryan Mallet and others have only shown brief flashes of brilliance, but still remain mired in potential. Dion Lewis is coming off of a superb freshman campaign.

In just one season’s time Lewis has amassed nearly 2,000 yards of total offense, including 1,799 on the ground. He scored a total of 18 touchdowns, including an 85 yard run. Oh, and he never lost a fumble. Lewis was consistently over 100 yards per game after week five of the season, topping out at 194 in the team’s biggest and most visible game of the season, a home loss to eventual conference champion Cincinnati, 45-44.

The statistics for Lewis prove that he is the real deal. The momentum behind his season in 2009 prove that he is ready to break out.

As of November 2009 Lewis was the only freshman on the Walter Camp Award watch list. Sure, it’s just a watch list, but as a freshman that is a hard ceiling to break. He was also 2009’s rookie of the year and offensive player of the year as a freshman, a record only Mike Vick can claim.

December of 2009 yielded more hallmarks of momentum as additional awards were announced and the brilliance of Lewis’ freshman season was put into perspective by history. Perspective especially revealed itself when the Heisman Trophy winner was announced. As great as Alabama running back Mark Ingram’s season was, his 1,542 yards and 15 touchdowns were not as statistically impressive as what Lewis accomplished. Lewis proved as a freshman that he can already best the stats of a Heisman winner. Voters should not take this accomplishment lightly. Lewis’ feats should make up for the fact that he doesn’t play on a marquee team in the media’s darling conference – the SEC.

If stats and momentum are not convincing enough, how about an endorsement from a former Walter Camp winner and great running quarterback? Tony Dorsett told scout.com that he “loves watching” Dion Lewis.

“What I like most is that he has no ego,” Dorsett said. “He just loves to run the ball.”

There has been a lot of promotion – and self-promotion – in sports this year. Athletes are placed on pedestals, not by the media as tradition holds, but by the athletes themselves and advertisers. Lewis appears to be a bit of a departure from the frustrating precedent modern athletes have set. A good attitude is never why a player deserves a performance award, but it does speak to his unwillingness to call attention to himself. Sports writers and voters must be diligent about following Lewis’ sophomore season. Lewis will perform, and if he gets noticed, he may just deserve the Heisman Trophy.

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The 2010 Most Overrated Team in the NFL Debate… Pride Goeth Before the Fall

August 27, 2010

Read the opposing arguments from Babe Ruthless and Loyal Homer.

I don’t think I have ever seen a team believe its own hype more than the New York Jets. It is one thing to walk into camp with Super Bowl aspirations, but the “J-E-T-S JETS JETS JETS” are strutting around as if the Lombardi Trophy is already claimed.

Rex Ryan, LaDanian Tomlinson, Mark Sanchez, and many others, have already gone on record with declarations that they are a Super Bowl bound franchise. While I love the positivity, there is just one problem – it is only week three of the pre-season.

The Jets are walking around with just a little too much bravado, and although many media outlets are hopping on the New York bandwagon, I am going on record right now with my “I told you so” prediction for 2010 – Forget the Super Bowl, the Jets won’t make the playoffs!

Let’s flash back to Sunday, December 20th of 2009. The Jets were walking off of the field after a 10-7 loss to the Atlanta Falcons, and NOBODY was talking Super Bowl at that time. Instead, folks were doubtful that the Jets would even reach the playoffs.

When you take an HONEST look at the Jets between then and now, what has changed? The short answer is “nothing good!”

Too Much Credit for Not Enough Substance

Sure, the Jets made the AFC championship game last season, but can we REALLY call the 2009 Jets a legitimate Super Bowl contender? I can’t!

The Jets eeked into the playoffs thanks to a schedule where the final two matchups pitted them against teams that already clinched post-season berths, and thus rested the stars. The Jets had the luck to draw a wild card matchup against a one-dimensional Cincinnati Bengals team that so heavily relied on the running game that the running back was simply EXHAUSTED when it came time for playoff football. And if not for some late mistakes by the San Diego Chargers, they would never have made it out of the divisional playoff round.

Now I know what you are thinking – the Jets STILL won their way into the AFC championship game, which is a fact that I cannot deny. I am just pointing out that they were the beneficiaries of very favorable conditions leading up to that AFC championship. As soon as the good luck ran out for New York, and they ran into a playoff seasoned Indianapolis Colts team, they were completely embarrassed in a 30-17 rout.

While the Jets enter the 2010 season after being just one game away from the Super Bowl last season, the result HARDLY matched the output.

Quarterback Concerns

Has Mark Sanchez done ANYTHING to convince anyone he can be a great quarterback in the NFL?

Not once last season did he pass for more than 300 yards in a single game. He DID have 14 games where he failed to eclipse the 200 yard mark, though. On the season, his 2,444 total yards ranked as the 23rd worst total in the league, and was almost DOUBLED by the NFL’s best, Matt Schaub.

In 18 games (including the playoffs), he had only one game of 20 completions or more, and his season total of only 196 completions placed him 25th in the league.

He threw for only 12 touchdowns last season (24th in the NFL), but had 20 interceptions (the second HIGHEST total, behind only Jay Cutler of the Bears).

I know that the Jets have brought in Santonio Holmes to give Sanchez another top-level target to throw the ball to, but (once more) has Mark Sanchez done ANYTHING to convince anyone he can be a great quarterback in the NFL?

In a word – NO!

Who Needs a QB Anyway?

So the Jets have a lousy quarterback. It didn’t seem to hurt at all last year, did it? Thomas Jones racked up more than 1,400 rushing yards, leading the Jets to the top rushing offense in the league last season.

That is a GREAT way to compensate for having a bum behind center. And the Jets plan to build off that tremendous rushing performance from last season, right?

WRONG!

In the organization’s infinite wisdom, Thomas Jones was released in favor of unproven Shonn Greene. Now I’m no football genius, but the adage “if it isn’t broken, don’t fix it” sure would seem to apply in this case.

Releasing Jones was the “head scratching” move of the off-season. The top rushing offense in the league (which arguably was the reason the team had marginal success during the regular season) actually parted ways WILLINGLY with the guy who made them so successful, all so they could rely on a kid with a whopping 108 TOTAL rushing attempts on his resume.

And alongside this unproven kid the organization brings in the soon-to-be washed up LaDanian Tomlinson, who hopes for one more shot at a winner before riding off into the Canton sunset.

What do you get when you mix a highly touted, yet unproven prospect with a once-great NFL record holder who thinks he still has a little gas left in the tank? You get a position battle!

That’s right, in a matter of months the Jets have fallen from having the league’s best rushing offense to not even knowing who the starter is (neither of whom have a PRAYER of producing the way that Thomas Jones did).

But Defense Wins Championships

The New York Jets had the top defense in the NFL in 2009. Led by All Pro cornerback Darrelle Revis, the Jets shut down opposing offenses, giving up only 252.3 yards and 14.8 points per game, no team was stingier when the offense was on the sidelines.

Here’s the problem, though. That superstar leader of the Jets defense, Darrelle Revis, has yet to show up for practice. Because he feels he is bigger than the team he plays for, Revis is foolishly demanding a new contract, and has held out from participating in team activities as his protest.

Without Revis, the Jets defense may not be hapless, but it is certainly not the loaded unit it was last season. And even if Revis and the Jets can come to some sort of an agreement (which today STILL seems unlikely), it is so far into the pre-season that his game-readiness is doubtful.

Wide Egos for Wide Receivers

I will grant only a couple sentences to the least valuable players on the entire Jets roster – Braylon Edwards and Santonio Holmes.

Holmes, who won’t even be on the field for the first four weeks of the season due to suspension, came to the Big Apple after being dealt away from the Pittsburgh Steelers because of yet another legal issue. It doesn’t at all matter what Holmes will do on the field, because he cannot seem to control his personal life.

As for his cross-field counterpart, the only thing that Braylon Edwards seems able to catch is bad press. He can run his mouth, but that pesky little thing called catching the ball seems to trip him up every time.

A Formula for Failure

Last season the Jets capitalized on the element of surprise and relied on a solid running game and a stingy defense to reach the AFC championship game.

Now the teams has drawn as much attention to itself as possible by painting a giant target on its back. The front office has weakened the running game, brought in unreliable receivers to support a quarterback whose performance would have gotten him fired on almost any other team in the league, and the top player is holding out for more money.

Are the Jets REALLY a playoff team?

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The 2010 Most Overrated Team in the NFL Debate… Pats No Longer Dominant

August 27, 2010

Read the opposing arguments from Bleacher Fan and Loyal Homer.

The New England Patriots’ run of playoff dominance in the modern millennia is something to be marveled. Since 2001, the Pats have won five division titles, four conference titles, and failed to make the playoffs only twice. More impressively, the Patriots have won three Super Bowl’s in just four years, from 2001 to 2004. Time and time again the Patriots continue to exceed expectations. From Tom Brady breaking NFL records to the 16-0 regular season in 2007, New England has rightfully developed a reputation as a nearly unstoppable force in the NFL. Until now.

For the first time in a long while, the Patriots look vulnerable. The offense is starting to show its age, and the defense has undergone drastic personnel changes over the past few years. The schedule is rough and sure to expose weaknesses in a suddenly competitive division. In short, the 2010 Patriots are not the same vaunted team that tossed around the league over the last decade. This season the Patriots have become mortal.

The First Signs of Weakness

For starters, take a look at how New England finished 2009. After winning the AFC East with a 10-6 record the Patriots were absolutely blown out by the Ravens, 33-14 in the first round of the playoffs. Adding insult to injury, the beating took place in Foxboro. Taking nothing away from a very strong Baltimore team, it probably should not have gone down that way.

New England had an experienced corps of veterans and home field advantage. The odds were in their favor, but apparently no one told Ray Rice. On the first play of the game he took the ball 83 yards for a tone-setting score. The Ravens ground attack was so effective that the win was secure despite 34 total passing yards. It was the first home playoff loss for the Pats since 1978, and it likely impacted the psyche of the players. That type of defeat could prove to be a confidence shaker for the coming season and tell tale sign of things to come.

Both Too Old and Too Young

Another hardship the 2010 Pats will have to overcome is Father Time. While the Patriots may be renowned for an ability to involve the entire roster in the offense, there is still a corps of veteran players that anchor the unit, and they are starting to get old. In fact, according to a study by ESPN, the Patriots were the sixth oldest team in the NFL. This could be bad news for a previously high-octane offense. Potentially the most dynamic aspect of the New England offense is the Brady to Moss connection. Both players will start the season at the age of 33. While that doesn’t mean than they are ready for the rest home, it does mean that their upside is probably behind them and they will be playing with bodies that have seen seasons of abuse. I am not prognosticating any dramatic declines, but a subtle reduction in numbers is certainly not out of the question. And Brady and Moss are not alone. Well known members of the offense, including Kevin Faulk (34), Sammy Morris (33), Fred Taylor (34), Alge Crumpler (32), are sure to show signs of age as they move deeper and deeper into their 30s as well. With age comes increased risk of injury and reduced production. Unlike Brett Favre, most players don’t put up career numbers in the later seasons of their career, and age may be a factor that slows the offense in the coming season.

The Rough Road Ahead

Aside from the obligatory two game destruction of the Bills, the Patriots will have a challenging schedule. Previously easy division matchups against New York and Miami have become increasingly more difficult over the past several years. Two games against a young and talented Jets team, which missed the Super Bowl by one game last season, will be no walk in the park this season. Similarly, the Dolphins have an up and coming quarterback in Chad Henne and a legit number one receiver in Brandon Marshall. It seems as though the AFC East has become a tight division overnight.

And the challenges are not limited to division rivals. After a week five bye New England will face a slew of tough teams – specifically the Ravens, Chargers, and Vikings. These are formidable teams that can put up huge numbers on any given week. It doesn’t get too easy thereafter, either, because the Pats will have to take on playoff perennials like the Steelers, Colts, and Packers. All three teams have huge offensive potential and a shootout with anyone of them could end poorly for New England because of an average defense. Not only will there be little chance of a repeat of the perfect regular season performance of 2007, there might not even be hope for a playoff spot.

Belichick and the boys could surprise the league again and pull off another outstanding season. They could be fueled by motivation of playing for new deals, as both Brady and Moss enter contract years. They could be fueled by the rivalry, seeing how Jets’ coach Rex Ryan and Tom Brady have been having at it. Or they could simply run out of gas. My gut, and the facts, tell me it will be the latter.

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The 2010 Most Overrated Team in the NFL Debate… Don’t Believe the Niner Hype

August 27, 2010

Read the opposing arguments from Babe Ruthless and Bleacher Fan.

Every season there are a handful of teams that believe they will be able to make some noise in the league. The so-called experts hype these teams, and many of these teams get a lot of early love from pre-season prognosticators. One of these teams is the San Francisco 49ers, and I am most definitely not buying the hype.

The competition is obviously less than stellar in the NFC West. And that was before Kurt Warner retired. Now things appear to be up for grabs as far as the division title goes, with St. Louis just being plain awful. I don’t see how the 49ers are the trendy pick to reach up and grab that title.

Don’t get me wrong. I am a Mike Singletary fan. I love the intensity he brings to the sidelines and the discipline he likes to instill in his players. I appreciate the fact that he wants winners (a very underrated coach’s rant). Look at this team. Does he have winners?

Look at the quarterback, Alex Smith. I wrote recently that he was the quarterback who had the most to prove in the NFL. I stand by that statement. What has he done to prove that he is capable of leading a team to ten wins and into the post-season? His main accomplishment as a football player is what he accomplished as a senior at Utah. Maybe he’ll go out and prove me and all the naysayers wrong by having a Pro-Bowl season. Well, never mind… that’s never going to happen!

When healthy, running back Frank Gore is good and capable. He is, however, inconsistent at times, which is maddening for fantasy football players. He went through a ten game stretch last season where he carried the ball at least twenty times just once. He also tends to get nicked up quite a bit, as he hasn’t played a full 16 game schedule since 2006. That’s begs the question ,“Is Frank Gore durable?”

Vernon Davis is an outstanding tight end and an up and coming star. I also believe that Michael Crabtree has the potential to be an outstanding wide receiver. We all saw what he could do in college. Now in his second season (first full season), we need to see it carry over. But he’s at a disadvantage. For starters, look who his quarterback is. Second, look who the current number two receiver is in the 49ers’ offense? It’s Josh Morgan. Ted Ginn, Jr. may pass him on the depth chart at some point, but that’s how it is right now. Does Josh Morgan strike fear into opposing defenses?

Can someone please explain to me how the San Francisco 49ers are getting all this love? What part of the team screams “playoffs?” I just don’t see it. If you do, by all means, leave me a comment and convince me!

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The Trading Carmelo Anthony Debate Verdict

August 27, 2010

Read the opposing arguments from Bleacher Fan and Loyal Homer.

Deciding what to do about the future of Carmelo Anthony is a problem which must weigh heavily on the minds of the Denver Nuggets’ organization and fans. Any path the Nuggets take is sure to draw criticism. If he is traded for prospects the team will draw fire for giving up on competing for a championship. Denver will be forced to commit to one of the most heinous and unpopular acts a successful franchise can commit – rebuilding. But if Carmelo stays and Denver fails to win the NBA championship, the organization will be ridiculed for walking away with nothing. Cynics will point to this critical juncture – the decision not to trade Anthony – as the pivotal moment when Denver mortgaged the future of the team because of misguided, foolhardy optimism. While this may very well be a make or break moment for the franchise, it is a far easier decision for me to make.

Bleacher Fan made a passionate plea for making the conservative choice, dealing Anthony to ensure the Nuggets don’t end up empty handed. He drew scathing comparisons between Anthony and several other high profile athletes he deemed unscrupulous in pursuit of a change of scenery. He went as far as to call out Darrelle Revis, Chris Paul, and of course LeBron James, by name. This, however, seems like an unfair comparison because unlike Revis and Paul, Anthony is not demanding a trade before his contract expires. Admittedly, there are conflicting reports fueled by friends, family, and the media about Anthony’s stance on a potential trade. But he is not certainly forcing the Nuggets to deal him. It is rather Denver’s dilemma about what to do with him.

While I highly disagree with his diatribe of athletes seeking better deals in free agency, we did find common ground on the belief that Anthony holds a considerable amount of leverage if he should seek a deal with a new team. The deck is stacked in his favor because with free agency lurking around the corner, the potential of ‘Melo leaving the Mile High City without a championship – and getting nothing in return – could have Denver execs running scared. The fear of such a scenario playing out was enough to prompt Bleacher Fan to suggest the two sides part ways now.

Loyal Homer, on the other hand, was not so convinced. He believes in the talent surrounding Anthony in Denver. He stated that the only wisdom in keeping ‘Melo for another season is to be competitive now. Loyal Homer wrote that Anthony’s friend and teammate, Chauncey Billups, could be a difference maker in the upcoming season, not to mention the corps of players like Kenyon Martin, J.R. Smith, and Birdman Anderson. With a talented roster and the return of dynamic head coach George Karl, the Nuggets have to be considered legitimate playoff contenders. With that in mind, the urgency to move ‘Melo is substantially diminished.

Similarly, my gut tells me that the Nuggets aren’t likely to acquire anyone in a trade for Anthony that would fill his shoes. The void created by ‘Melo’s departure could not easily be filled, and the team’s ability to compete may be compromised for years. These conclusions led Loyal Homer to support the risky decision to hang onto Anthony for one more run.

I simply could not disagree with Loyal Homer’s logic. A championship could entice ‘Melo to stay and attract more stars to the Nuggets. Loyal Homer implied that keeping Carmelo Anthony for the 2010 season is a calculated risk, but one that could pay off in a big way, and for that reason I’m awarding the victory to Loyal Homer.

Many teams consider Carmelo Anthony the next best thing to LeBron James. So why would a team in pursuit of a championship give a player of that quality up before they had to? In the wake of LeBron’s decision drama it is easy to suggest the Nuggets should take whatever they can get for ‘Melo before it’s too late. But that would mean completely writing off the chances of a playoff-ready team solely on the basis of worst case scenarios.

While I understand that a bird in the hand is worth two in the bush, I simply cannot support any move that knowingly hurts a team’s immediate competitiveness. The last time I checked, the object of the game is to win. And the object of the season is to win the championship. Any move that hinders that pursuit is not true to the ultimate goal of the sport.

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